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FrameworkConventioninClimateChange在气候变化框架公约

FrameworkConventioninClimateChange在气候变化框架公约

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时间：2019-08-21

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1、FrameworkConventionon ClimateChangeBasisforallnegotiationssince1992Ratifiedby186CountriesRatifiedbyUnitedStatesCommitsallParties(developedanddeveloping)toreduceemissionsRecognizesnotionofcommonbutdifferentiatedresponsibilities“StabilizationofatmosphericGHGconcentrationsatalev

2、elthatwouldpreventdangerousanthropogenicinterferencewiththeclimatesystem”NobindingcommitmentsforspecificreductionsICCP2001ViewsonScientificStatusIPCCAssessmentReports-meetminimumcredibilitytodrivepolicyprocessRecognizegeneralconsensusonpotentialtemperatureincreaseandsealevelr

3、iseOtherEffects-Speculative,likelytobeunresolvedbeforepolicyimplementationCurrentconcernmoreproperlyfocusedonrateofchangeReturningatmospherein200yearperiodtoCO2concentrationsnotseenin50millionyearsICCP2001U.S.PolicyFramework Pre-KyotoBindingtargetsandtimetablesSinglebasketofg

4、asesFlexiblemarketmechanismsNointernationalharmonizedpoliciesandmeasuresDevelopingcountryroleLongtermobjectiveICCP2001KyotoProtocolBindingtargetsandtimetablesSinglebasketofgasesFlexiblemarketmechanisms(placeholder)NocommonpoliciesandmeasuresDevelopingcountryrule-unresolvedLon

5、g-termobjective-unidentifiedICCP2001IndustryViewsOnKyotoNoorganizedoppositionoutsideU.S.WaitandseeattitudeoncompletionofmarketmechanismsLittlestrongsupportforprotocolPrimaryU.S.oppositionfocusedinenergyindustryICCP2001BasisForOppositionToKyotoPurelypoliticalEmissionsCapString

6、encyoftargetandtimetableLackofdevelopingcountryroleAllofaboveICCP2001BasisforInternationalViewsof U.S.Position-PerceptionU.S.highestpercapitaemissionsAppearanceoflackofdomesticpolicyFearofmarketmechanismsasU.S.advantageDominanceoverdevelopingcountriesICCP2001BasisforInternati

7、onalViewsof U.S.Position-RealityEmissionsdeclinedvs.economicgrowthDomesticexpendituresonclimatechangegreaterthananyothercountryDomesticU.S.actionlikelywithmarketmechanismsDevelopingcountryopportunitiesverygreatICCP2001CurrentIndustryConcernsAgnosticoncarboncapinKP;butsupporti

8、veofeffectivemarketmechanismsSkepticalthatpolicyprocesswillproceedwi

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