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时间:2020-03-27
《C4SS-Resilient-Communities-and-Local-Economies国家资本主义之后地社会: 弹性社区与地方经济.pdf》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在教育资源-天天文库。
1、SOCIETYAFTERSTATECAPITALISM:ResilientCommunitiesandLocalEconomiesByKevinA.CarsonCenterforaStatelessSocietyPaperNo.6(October-November2009)1Wealreadysaw,inC4SSPaperNo.5,theeconomyofnetworkedmicromanufacturingthat'slikely2toemergefromthedeclineofthestatecapitalists
2、ystem.AndaswesawinC4SSPaperNo.4,thereisacyclicaltendencyofindustrialproductiontoshiftfromthemass-productioncoretothecraftperipheryineconomicdownturns.We'veseen,furthermore,along-termstructuralshiftinthesamedirectionduringthestagnationofthepastthirtyyears.Thereis
3、asimilarhistoricconnectionbetweensevereeconomicdownturns,withsignificantperiodsofunemployment,andtheformationofbarternetworksandresilientcommunities.Ifthecomparisontomanufacturingholds,giventhecumulativeeffectofallofstatecapitalism'scrisesofsustainabilitywhichwe
4、examinedinPaperNo.4,wecanexpecttoseealong-termstructuralshifttowardresilientcommunitiesandrelocalizedexchange.JohnRobbsuggeststhat,giventheseverityofthepresent“GreatRecession,”itmayusherinaphasetransitioninwhichthenewsocietycrystallizesaroundresilientcommunities
5、asabasicbuildingblock;resilientcommunitieswillplaythesameroleinresolvingthecurrent“TimeofTroubles”thattheKeynesianstatedidinresolvingthelastone.Historically,economicrecessionsthatlastlongerthanayearhavedurations/severitiesthatcanbeplottedaspowerlawdistributions.
6、...Giventhatwearealreadyoverayearintothisrecession,itimpliesthatwearereallyintoblackswanterritory(unknownandextremeoutcomes)inregardstoourglobaleconomy'scurrentdownturnandthatnoestimatesofrecoverytimesorultimateseveritybasedonhistoricaldataofpastrecessionsapplya
7、nymore.Thisalsomeansthatthesystemhasexceededitsabilitytoadaptusingstandardmethods(thatshouldn'tbenewstoanyone).Itmaybeevenmoreinterestingthanthat.Theapparentnon-linearityandturbulenceofthecurrentsituationsuggestswemaybeataphasetransition(akintotheshiftinthenatur
8、alworldfromicetowater)....Asaresult,anewcontrolregimemayemerge.Togetaglimpseofwhatisinstoreforus,weneedtolookatthesourcesofemergingorder(newlyconfigureddissipativeand
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