透视分析师本地分析师是否能够比国外分析师更好地预测宏观经济前景

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1、指导小组成员名单寇宗来教授程大中教授陆寒寅副教授殷醒民教授TableofContentS摘要..........................................................................……，....................................……，.......……1Abstract.“..…”…“……”二””二。..…”.…”，..........................................……，....................……，……21.Introduction……，.....

2、..................................……，…，.…，.，...............……，，......................……，…3A.RelevanceoftheTopic...............................................................................................……5B.Motivat1ons......................................................................……，..

3、................................……6C.ResearchStatement..……，........................................................……，............................……711.Background....................……，...................................................……，...........................……9A.The“chinaModel”foreconomic

4、growth..................................................................……9B.MethodsforForeeastingKeyMaeroeeonomieVariablesAbroadandinChina......……13C.TheRelationshipBetweenAnalystFundingandForecastAccuracy.......................……17D.LocalAnalystsAdvaniages二、.....................................

5、.............................................……19E.ChineseStatistics...............................................................……，..…，..........................……20111.LiteratureReview二”..…”.”，’..…，’..................……，..........................……，...........……，…22A.ForecastAccuracyintheG7Co

6、untries......……，................……，...............................……22B.ProximityAllalysisandLocalAdvantage...............................................................……23C.FinllSizeandForecastPreclsion.............................................................................……24D.Localvs.F

7、oreignInfonnationAdvantages..............................................................……24E.MonetaryPolicyinChina..........................……，……、.…、...........................................……25F.CurrentTendenciesi