车辆跟驰模型参数标定与验证研究

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1、上海交通大学硕士学位论文车辆跟驰模型参数标定与验证研究姓名：乔晋申请学位级别：硕士专业：管理科学与工程指导教师：隽志才20080101上海交通大学硕士学位论文的主要影响因素，基于主要影响因素，选取合适的GM类车辆跟驰模型，标定除反应时间之外的其它参数；5）以分布式并行仿真系统TPSS为平台，集成标定好的车辆跟驰模型，运用仿真验证方法，验证参数标定结果的有效性。本文利用互相关分析法，最小二乘法，相对速度与加速度对比图法标定了驾驶员反应时间，得到此参数的均值，标准差等统计描述，发现互相关分析法的计算结果与以往的研究具有较大的差异，最小二乘法，相对速度与加速度对比图法的计算结果与以往的研究一致

2、。对车辆跟驰模型中反应时间之外的参数的标定，得到了两组分别适合于车辆加速时与车辆减速时的参数值。将标定好的车辆跟驰模型集成到分布式并行仿真系统TPSS中仿真验证表明，仿真结果达到了预先设定的仿真模型验证标准。关键词：微观交通仿真，GM类车辆跟驰模型，分布式并行仿真系统，标定，验证，反应时间V上海交通大学硕士学位论文ResearchonParametersCalibrationandVerificationofCar-followingModelsABSTRACTTrafficmicro-simulationsystemshavebeenwidelyusedinthefieldsoftra

3、nsportationengineeringandplanning,anditspremiseisthatallkindsofmodelsinthosetrafficmicro-simulationsystemshavebeenadequatelycalibratedandverified.Inthisthesis,someresearchisdoneonparameterscalibrationandverificationofcoremodels:car-followingmodelsoftrafficmicro-simulationsystems,andthemajorcontri

4、butesareasfollows:1)Recenttrafficmicro-simulationresearchallovertheworldisdiscussed,andlawsofmanykindsofcar-followingmodelsareintroduced.ThenGM-typecar-followingmodelsarechosenasmodelswhichwillbecalibratedandverifiedlater.Thecalibrationwaysofdriverreactiontime:oneofthemostimportantparametersinGM-

5、typemodelsaresummarized.2)AsetofMicro-trafficflowdatainwhichmostcarsareinthecar-followingstateischosen,andmanykindsoftrafficcharacteristicssuchasflow,meanspeed,densityandtimeheadwayareanalyzed.ThesecharacteristicsarethebaseofthefollowingcalibrationandVI上海交通大学硕士学位论文verification.3)Driverreactiontim

6、esarecalibratedinthewaysofcross-correlationanalysis,leastsquaresmethod,andtherelativespeedandtheaccelerationspot,andstatisticdescriptionofreactiontimesisobtained.Fromtheviewpointofreactiontimes,driverbehaviorisresearched.Also,threecalibrationwaysarecompared.4)Factorswhicheffectcar-followingbehavi

7、orareanalyzedfromthepointofdrivers’cognition,andfactorsanalysisaredonetothesefactors,thenmainfactorsinfluencingcar-followingbehavioraregrasped.Basedonthis,akindofGM-typemodelischosen,andotherparametersexceptreactiontim