溯本追源—解读中国的房地产市场

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1、China’sboominghousingmarketPuttingitintherightperspective溯本追源——解读中国的房地产市场april2010二零一零年四月APRIL2010China’sboomingEnglishhousingmarketPuttingitintherightperspectiveSincetheonsetoftheglobalfinancialcrisisin2008,Chinahasbeenplayinganincreasingly中文importantroleint

2、heworldeconomy.Whileallmajordevelopedeconomiesweremiredindeeprecession,ChinaachievedstrongGDPgrowthof8.7%andbecameamajorgrowthenginefortheglobaleconomy.ButhowlargeisChina’seconomyandhowimportantisitsroleintheglobalarena?Grossdomesticproduct(GDP)iswidelyusedto

3、measureacountry’seconomicmuscleandintermsofGDP,Chinawastheworld’sthirdlargesteconomylastyearaftertheUSandJapan.China’snominalGDPwasabout33%thatoftheUS,butintermsofpurchasingpowerparity(PPP),itsGDPwasabout66%thatoftheUSandrankedsecondamongalleconomiesin2009.Ho

4、wever,suchstatisticsarenotanaccuratereflectionofChina’sroleintheglobaleconomy,asWebelievetotalbankdepositstherearelimitationswhenusingGDPforinter-countrycomparison.WhencalculatingGDP,twoareamorestraightforwardcountriesmayhaveverydifferent‘baskets’ofgoodsandse

5、rvices,dependingontheirstatisticalandintuitiveindicatorofasystems,anddevelopingcountrieswithineffectivetaxationsystemshavedifficultymeasuringtheoutputsofcertainemergingindustries.ThereliabilityofPPPcomparisonisalsoopentocriticism,country’seconomicprowess.asit

6、requiresdetailedpricesurveysoflargeamountsofitemsinallcountriesinvolved,whichareBankdepositscanbereadilydifficulttomanage.translatedintopurchasingWebelievetotalbankdepositsareamorestraightforwardandintuitiveindicatorofacountry’spowerandmakeforhighlyeconomicpr

7、owess.Bankdepositscanbereadilytranslatedintopurchasingpowerandmakeforhighlytransparentstatistics.Insteadofbeingcompiledbystatisticalagenciesthroughsampling,transparentstatistics.bankdepositfiguresarecloselymonitoredbycommercialbanksandregularlysubmittedtoregu

8、latorsforindependentauditing.Generallyspeaking,totalbankdeposits—thesizeofwhichisproportionaltotradesurplus,netcapitalinflowsandbankcredit—provideagoodgaugeofacountry’seconomicstrength.Ac