义乌对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究

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2、荿羇袂蒇莈蚇肇莃莇蝿袀艿蒆袁肆膅蒅薁袈肁蒄蚃肄葿蒄袆羇莅蒃羈膂芁蒂蚈羅膇蒁螀膀肃蒀袂羃莂蕿薂腿芈薈蚄羁膄薈螇膇膀薇罿肀蒈薆虿袃莄薅螁肈芀薄袃袁膆薃薃肆肂蚃蚅衿莁蚂螇肅芇蚁羀袇芃蚀虿膃腿虿螂羆蒈蚈袄膁莄蚇羆羄芀蚇蚆膀膆莃螈羂肂莂袁膈莀莁薀羁莆莀螃芆节莀袅聿膈荿羇目录中文摘要·····················································1英文摘要·····················································1一、引言·····································

3、···············2（一）选题的背景·············································2（二）选题的意义·············································2二、对外贸易对经济增长影响的相关理论·························3（一）国际学者理论研究········································320（二）中国学者的整理与深化研究································5三、义乌经济发展中的对外贸易的现状分析

4、························7（一）义乌对外贸易的规模······································7（二）义乌出口的主要国家······································9（三）义乌对外贸易的商品结构··································9四、义乌对外贸易与经济增长的实证分析··························10（一）对外贸易与经济增长关系研究的建模方法····················10（二）对外贸易对义乌经济增长影响的协整分析···

5、·················13五、结论和对策建议············································1520（一）结论····················································15（二）对策建议················································15参考文献······················································18义乌对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究【摘要】改革开放以来，我国大力发展外向型经

6、济，同时国民经济持续快速增长，对外贸易的不断扩大对地区经济增长产生了重要影响。随着经济全球化的不断深入，对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系成为一个值得探讨的课题。本文以出口大省浙江省的县级市义乌市为例，在回顾外贸-增长关系的相关理论的基础上，对浙江对外贸易与经济增长的情况进行研究，然后运用误差修正模型对义乌的进出口、经济增长的关系进行实证的分析，其结果表明当前对外贸易与经济增长存在着长期稳定的依赖关系。接着进一步分析这一现象的具体原因。最后，本文针对近期浙江省乃至全国所面临的经济危机的问题进行探讨，并提出可行性的建议。【关键词】经济增长，对外贸易，误差修正模型[Abstract

7、]Sincethereformandopenpolicy,ourcountryhasdevelopedtheexport-orienteconomyvigorously,simultaneouslythenationaleconomycontinuestheswiftgrowth,theforeigntradeexpandsunceasinglytothe20localeconomicgrowthhashadthematerialeffect.Alongwiththeeconomicglobalizationunceasing