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1、PRIMERONRISKANALFoodScience&TechnologyIneverydecisioncontexttherearethingsweknowandthingswedonotknow.Riskanalysisusesscienceandthebestavailableevidencetoassesswhatweknow—anditisintentionalinthewayitaddressestheimportanceofthethingswedon’tknow.PrimeronRiskAnalysi
2、s:DecisionMakingUnderUncertaintylaysoutthetasksofriskanalysisinastraightforward,conceptualmannerthatisconsistentwiththeriskmodelsofallcommunitiesofpractice.Thisprimertacklesthequestion,“whatisriskanalysis?”Distillingthecommonprinciplesofthemanyrisktribesanddiale
3、ctsintoserviceabledefinitionsandnarratives,itprovidesafoundationforthepracticeofriskanalysisanddecisionmakingunderuncertaintyforprofessionalsfromallwalksoflife.Readerslearnthelanguage,models,andconceptsofriskanalysisanditsthreecomponenttasks—riskmanagement,asses
4、sment,andcommunication.Makingadistinctionbetweenknowledgeuncertaintyandnaturalvariability,thebookalsointroducesadown-to-earthapproachtodecisionmakingunderuncertainty.Extensiveexamplesillustratetheapplicabilityoftheriskanalysisprinciples.Thebook’ssimpleandstraigh
5、tforwardstyle—basedontheauthor’sdecadesofYSISexperienceasariskanalyst,trainer,andeducator—stripsawaythemysteriousaurathatoftenaccompaniesriskanalysis.Itdescribestheprinciplesofriskanalysisinamannerthatenablesreaderstobetterunderstandandusethemodelsandpracticeoft
6、heirindividualfields,andtogainaccesstotherichandsophisticatedprofessionalliteratureonriskanalysis.Acompanionvolume,PrinciplesofRiskAnalysis:DecisionMakingUnderUncertainty,suppliesthetools,techniques,andmethodologiestohelpreadersapplytheprinciplesofriskanalysis—t
7、he“howto.”YOEK12691K12691_Cover.indd16/9/111:33PMPRIMERONRISKANALYSISDECISIONMAKINGUNDERUNCERTAINTYPRIMERONRISKANALYSISDECISIONMAKINGUNDERUNCERTAINTYCHARLESYOECRCPressTaylor&FrancisGroup6000BrokenSoundParkwayNW,Suite300BocaRaton,FL33487-2742©2012byTaylor&Francis
8、Group,LLCCRCPressisanimprintofTaylor&FrancisGroup,anInformabusinessNoclaimtooriginalU.S.GovernmentworksVersionDate:20110520InternationalStandardBookNumber-13:978-1-43
