我国城镇居民消费结构变动趋势分析

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1、南京财经大学本科毕业论文(设计)目录中文摘要·····················································1英文摘要·····················································1一、城镇居民消费结构的变动趋势和特点························2（一）食品消费支出总量增加，比重下降，质量提高············2（二）住房、汽车消费已经成为消费热点和新经济增长点········2（三）保险消费正逐渐成为一项新的消费热点··················3（四）教育及旅游支出

2、增加··································3（五）医疗费用支出快速增长，保健品市场潜力巨大············4二、我国城镇居民消费结构的静态分析··························4（一）ELES数学模型及参数估计·····························4（二）基本需求分15南京财经大学本科毕业论文(设计)析········································7（三）边际消费倾向分析····································8（四）弹性分析··········

3、··································8一、消费结构变动的影响因素··································10（一）收入水平············································10（二）商品价格的变化······································10（三）消费观念············································10（四）生产因素············································11（五）

4、体制改革及政策因素15南京财经大学本科毕业论文(设计)··································11一、结束语··················································11参考文献·····················································13我国城镇居民消费结构变动趋势分析摘要：改革开放以来,我国城镇居民家庭恩格尔系数不断下降，消费结构发生了一系列变化，同时又呈现出一些新的特征。该文利用ELES模型对城镇居民消费需求和消费结构进行了研究，分析得出：医疗保健、交通通信、教育

5、文娱和居住的基本消费需求增长明显，食品、居住、家庭设备和杂项的需求收入弹性呈现下降的趋势，衣着、医疗保健、交通通信和教育文娱的需求收入弹性呈上升的趋势。家庭设备、交通通信和教育文娱的价格弹性相对其它消费项目较大，但各项商品的价格弹性均表现出不同程度的下降趋势。并且运用扩展支出模型，对我国城镇居民消费结构进行了实证分析，最后提出了优化居民消费结构的政策建议。关键词：城镇居民，消费结构，扩展的线性支出系统（ELES）模型，边际消费倾向，需求收入弹性，需求价格弹性Abstract:Sincereformandopenedtotheworld,towninhabitantfamilyEngel

6、coefficientunceasinglydropsandtownresidents’consumptionstructurehasexperiencedaseriesofchange.ThispaperstudiesthechangeofconsumerdemandandconsumerstructureofChineseurbanresidentsbyusingELESmodel.Theresultsindicatethatbasicconsumerdemandonmedicineand15南京财经大学本科毕业论文(设计)medicalservices,transportandc

7、ommunicationservices,educationandculturalservicesandresidenceincreasemoreremarkablethanothers.Thereisadeclinetrendaboutincomeelasticitiesofdemandforfood，householdfacilities，residenceandmiscellaneouscommodities，butthereisanas