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1、积极财政政策淡出时机尚未成熟（Thetimeforthefadingoutofactivefiscalpolicyisnotyetripe）Thetimeforthe"fadingout"ofactivefiscalpolicyisnotyetripeThetimingofpositivefiscalpolicyfadingoutisnotyetripe,2008-12-2015:10:44Since1998,Chinahasmaintainedthepolicyofexpandingdomesticdemandandimplementedaproact
2、ivefiscalpolicy,whichhasplayedasignificantroleinmaintainingsustainedandrapidgrowthofthenationaleconomy.Atpresent,theimplementationoftheproactivefiscalpolicyhasentereditsfifthyear,andsomepeoplesuggestthattheproactivefiscalpolicyis"fadingout".Infact,todeterminewhethertheactivefisca
3、lpolicyshouldfadeout,consideringthreeconditions:oneisthetrendofdeflationiseffectivelycontrolled;thetwoisthedomesticinvestmentdemandandconsumptiondemandoftheendogenousgrowthmechanismisformed;threeisthenationalfinancialcapacity.JudgingfromtherealityofChina'seconomicdevelopment,thet
4、imingofpositivefiscalpolicyisnotripe.Firstofall,thegeneralpricelevelisstilllow,thetrendofdeflationhasnotbeeneliminated.AccordingtodatareleasedbytheNationalBureauofstatistics,sinceNovemberlastyear,thenationalconsumerpricelevelbegantoshownegativegrowth.Thisyear1-Juneofeachmonth,the
5、consumerpriceindexfell1%,0%,0.8%,1.3%,1.1%and0.8%,thefirsthalfoftheyearfell0.8%,amongthem,foodpricesfell0.9%,clothing,householdgoods,medicalcareandpersonalsupplies,transportationandcommunicationpricesfell1.1to2.4%.InJuly,thetrendoffallingpricescontinued,andthegenerallevelofconsum
6、erpricesdroppedby0.9%comparedwiththesamemonthlastyear.Amongthem,thepriceoffooddroppedby0.9%,andthepriceofclothingdroppedby2.4%.ExfactorypricesofthemeansofproductionhavecontinuedtodeclinesincelastJune,andtherehasbeennosignofapick-up.Accordingtostatistics,thisyear,1-Juneeachmonth,p
7、roductiondatapricescomparedwiththesamemonthlastyear,respectively,6.3%,5.4%,4.7%,4.4%,3.8%and2.6%.Theseindicatorsshowthat:productionandconsumptionoftwoarenotflourishing,deflationarypressuresstillexist.Thissituationisnotconducivetothegrowthofconsumerdemand,isnotconducivetoenterpris
8、eefficiencyandincomeimprovementoffarmers
