美国2013稍微喘口气

美国2013稍微喘口气

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时间:2018-07-29

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1、AMERICA,itappears,willgooverthefiscalcliffafterall,ifonlyforafewdays.Butifallgoesasplanned,theworstofthecliff,awitheringcombinationoftaxincreasesandspendingcuts,willbeavoided.AdealnearingcompletionintheSenatewouldmakepermanentthetaxcutsfirstenactedbyGeorgeBushin2001and2003andduetoex

2、pireonDecember31st,exceptforthewealthy.Themarginalrateforindividualsearningmorethan$400,000andcouplesearningmorethan$450,000wouldrisefrom35%toitspre-2001rateof39.6%,whiledeductionswouldbecurbedforsomepeopleearningaslittleas$250,000.Estatetaxeswouldgoup,butnottopre-2001levels,whilera

3、tesoncapitalgainsanddividends,now15%,wouldgoupto20%,stilllessthantheirpre-2001levels.Taxcreditsforfamilies,workersandcollegestudentsfirstintroducedinMrObama’sstimulusplanwillbeextendedforfivemoreyears.AlthoughpassageintheSenateseemedcertain,thebill'sfateintheHouseismoreofawildcard.P

4、artisansonbothsideshatethedeal:liberalDemocratsbecauseitdoesnotraiseratesoneveryoneearningmorethan$250,000,asMrObamahadlongdemanded;Republicans,becausetheyarebeingaskedtoapprovethefirstincreaseintaxratesintwodecadeswhilegettingnospendingcutsinreturn.Nonetheless,passageseemslikely,if

5、onlybecausebothsidesrealisethealternativewouldbemuchworse.IfthecountryenteredJanuarywithnodealinsight,taxeswouldriseonthevastmajorityofhouseholds,ahitworthmorethan$300billion,or2%ofGDP,peryear.SincetheHousewillnotvoteuntilJanuary1stattheearliest,taxeswillrise,atleastforaday.Butmosth

6、ouseholdswillnotnoticebecauseemployersshouldbeabletowithholdtaxesatthesamelevelaslastyearbythetimethefirstpaychecksofJanuarygoout.Byavoidingthathitandfinallynailingdownnumerousfeaturesofthetaxcode,thedealliftsacloudthathadhungovertheeconomyandinvestorconfidence.Butonalmosteveryother

7、point,thedealfallsshortofalreadylowexpectations.Startwithwhatisnotincluded.ThemainelementsofthefiscalcliffweretheexpiringBushtaxcuts;expiringextendedunemploymentinsurancebenefits;anexpiringpayrolltaxcut;automaticspendingcutsworth$110billionperyear,spreadequallyacrossdefenceanddomest

8、icprogrammes(called

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