The Quantificational Evaluation of Shanghai World Exposition In 2010

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1、TheQuantificationalEvaluationofShanghaiWorldExpositionIn2010ImpactAbstractInthispaper，weundertakethequantificationalevaluationformtheeconomicaspectsontheimpactofShanghaiWorldExposition.Wedividetheeconomicaspectsintotwostagestoanalysis.ThefirststageisthepreviousWorl

2、dExpositionstage(fromChinasuccessfullybidsfortheShanghaiWorldExpositiontoWorldExpositionending).ThesecondstageispostWorldExposition.Wemainlyanalysisthereceiveofnationaltourism，theinfrastructureconstructionoftheWorldExpositionthrowedin,theforeigneconomicandtradevolu

3、meandtotalindustrialproductiononthefirststage.Weusetheregressionanalysisandaccumulativebuildingmethodtoforecastthecorrelationaldataaboutfourfactors.Wehandlethecorrelationaldatafrom2002to2009aboutfourfactorstopredictthecorrelationaldataaboutfourfactorsthattakenoacco

4、untofShanghaiWorldExposition.WecomparethecorrelationaldataaboutfourfactorswiththesetakennoaccountofShanghaiWorldExposition.WedefinetheimpactproportionfactortoscaletheimpactoftheWorldExpositionupontheseveraltyfactor.Weuseonedegreeexponentialsmoothingmethodandfitmeth

5、odconfirmfourfactor’sweight.Wedefinetheimpactstrengthtobuildtheimpactstrengthmodel.Theimpactstrengthisimpactproportionfactorcorrespondingweightsummation.WesolveouttheimpactstrengthofShanghaiWorldExposition.Itis1.1818.FromthemaintenanceofWorldExposition’sbuildingand

6、follow-uptour,wequantificationallypredicttheexpenditureofmaintenance.Itis0.978billionin2011.WerefertotheKunminghorticulturalExposition’sfollow-upimpactontradetoanalysisShanghaiWorldExposition’sfollow-upimpactontradesituation.Keyword:impactstrength;quantificationale

7、valuation;impactproportionfactorRestatementTheworldexpo2010ShanghaiisthefirstheldinChina.Tohosttheworldexpowillhaveagreateconomicroleinboosting,fromLondon"industrialexposition"start,theworldexpoisincreasinglybecomingpeoplescommunicationhistoryandculture,displayandt

8、echnologicalachievements,reflectthespiritofcooperation,lookforwardtothefuturedevelopmentoftheimportantstage.Thisarticlemainlyfromtheeconomicaspec