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ID:32141687
大小:3.29 MB
页数:70页
时间:2019-01-31
《国际原油价格波动对我国产业部门影响的分析》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、国际原油价格波动对我国产业部门影响的研究AbstractInrecentyears,thepriceofinternationalcrudeoilfluctuatesseverely.Onlytheyear2008alone,thepriceofcrudeoilrosefrom100dollars/barrelbytheendof2007to150dollars/barrelandfellbackto40dollars/barrelattheendofthesameyear,thisdidsomeinfluenc
2、eontheworld'seconomyandsodidChina'seconomy.Ourcountryisinacrucialperiodofrapiddevelopmentofindustrializationandurbanization,sothedesireforrawmaterialslikecrudeareenormous.Becauseoftheresourceendowmentsandthefastgrowingdemandsforcrude,China'scrudeoilsupplygapi
3、sexpanding,andthephenomenonofrelyingoncrudeimportisincreasingeversinceitbreakthecordonof50%in2009.Thehighrelianceoncrudeimportmeansthehighrelianceontheinternationalcrudemarket,andthiswillleadtohigherinfluencefromtheinternationalcrudemarket.Insuchsituations,th
4、equestionsofhowthepriceofinternationalcrudeoilconductsalongournationaleconomyandwhatkindofeffectofthefluctuationofthecrudepricewouldbringtoournationaleconomyarescientificissuesworthyofattentionandinvestigation.Basedonthebackgroundofthehighrelianceonimportcrud
5、e,thispaperinvestigatestheinfluenceoffluctuationofthepriceoftheinternationalcrudeoilonournationaleconomy.Inthispaper,anon-competitiveinput-outputmethodisusedtoclarifyimportcrudeoilfromdomesticcrudeoilandanalyzestowhatdegreethenationaleconomydepartmentsarerely
6、ingontheimportcrude.Theprimaryenergyproductiondepartmentssuchascoalminingandwashingindustryarenotmuchrelyingonimportcrude;whilesecondaryenergyproductiondepartmentssuchasallkindsofnon-energyextractiveindustry,metalsmelting,metalrollingindustryandthechemicalind
7、ustryshowshighrelianceontheimportcrude,furthermorethisrelianceconductstolightindustryandservicebusinessduetotherelationsofproduction.Meanwhileweanalyzetherelationshipofournation'sindustryusingthenon-competitiveinput-outputmethodaswellasthenon-competitiveinput
8、-outputpricemodeltoexploretheconductionmechanismofinternationalcrudeoilinournation'seconomydepartments,alsowehavedrawnthemainpathwayfigure.Finally,inthispaperwebuildupthe2007nationalmacro
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