资源描述：
《并网光伏电站置信容量评估》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在工程资料-天天文库。
1、Seediscussions,stats,andauthorprofilesforthispublicationat:https://www.researchgate.net/publication/279515329CapacityCreditEvaluationofGrid-ConnectedPhotovotaicGenerationArticleinPowerSystemTechnology·September2012CITATIONSREADS0371author:XinFangNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory36
2、PUBLICATIONS242CITATIONSSEEPROFILESomeoftheauthorsofthispublicationarealsoworkingontheserelatedprojects:WindrampingprojectViewprojectAllcontentfollowingthispagewasuploadedbyXinFangon05March2016.Theuserhasrequestedenhancementofthedownloadedfile.第36卷第0期电网技术Vol.36No.02012年0月PowerSyst
3、emTechnology000.2012文章编号：1000-3673（2012）00-0000-00中图分类号：TM72文献标志码：A学科代码：470·4051并网光伏电站置信容量评估方鑫，郭强，张东霞，梁双（中国电力科学研究院，北京市海淀区100192）CapacityCreditEvaluationofGrid-ConnectedPhotovoltaicGenerationFANGXin,GUOQiang,ZHANGDongxia,LIANGShuang(ChinaElectricPowerResearchInstitute,HaidianDistri
4、ct,Beijing100192,China)ABSTRACT:Toevaluatethecapacitycreditofphotovoltaic性和有效性。(PV)generationisoneofurgentproblemstobeconsidered关键词：光伏发电；容量置信度；发电可靠性；序贯蒙特卡whenlarge-scalePVstationisconnectedtotraditionalpower罗法；粒子群优化grid.ThecapacitycreditofPVgenerationisevaluatedbythegenerationcapa
5、citythatcouldbereducedintraditionalpower0引言gridafterthegrid-connectionofPVstation.Forthispurpose,a随着能源危机和环境保护压力的日益增大，可newmethodforevaluatingthecapacitycreditofPVgeneration再生能源的利用受到了越来越多的重视。在几种主isproposed.Firstly,anannualoutputfluctuatingmodelofPV要的可再生能源中，太阳能有着极大的应用潜力[1]。generation
6、,inwhichtheoccurrenceprobabilitiesofdifferentweathertypes,themaximumproportionsofsolarradiation近年来，太阳能光伏(photovoltaic，PV)发电技术得undervariouswhetherconditions,thefluctuationradiation到了持续快速发展，光伏并网发电已经成为利用太rangeduetocloudsmaskandthetemperaturecoefficient阳能的主要方式之一。我国发布的《可再生能源中randomvari
7、ationrangearetakenintoaccount,isbuilt;长期发展规划》中提出，到2020年光伏发电装机secondly,basedonsequentialMonte-Carlosimulation,a容量将达到2000MWp，计划年增长15%以上[2]。methodtocalculategenerationreliabilityofpowergridisputforwardanditsobjectivefunctionisestablishedbasedonthe评估新能源发电的容量置信度是随着太阳能lossofloadexpectat
8、ion(LOLE)beforeandafterthe和风能这一类间
