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1、InductionasVindicationWilfridSellarsPhilosophyofScience,Vol.31,No.3.(Jul.,1964),pp.197-231.StableURL:http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0031-8248%28196407%2931%3A3%3C197%3AIAV%3E2.0.CO%3B2-NPhilosophyofScienceiscurrentlypublishedbyTheUniversityofChicagoPress.YouruseoftheJSTORar
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5、ienceNO.3INDUCTIONASVINDICATION*WILFRIDSELLARSUniversityofPittsburgh1.Ishallattemptinthispapertogivearounded,ifschematic,accountoftheconceptofprobability.Mycentralconcernwillbetoclarifythesenseinwhichlaw-likestatements(including'statistical'law-likestatements)aremadeprobableb
6、yobser-vationaldatawhich,inasenseequallydemandinganalysis,'accord'withthem.2.Ifmyargumentiscorrect,however,itturnsoutthatnomologicalprobability,ifImaysocallit,islogicallydependenton-thoughnotreducibleto-theprobabilityinvolvedinthesocalled'proportional'syllogism1.mostKsareBxis
7、aKtherefore,itisprobablethatxisBand,indeed,onthatformofproportionalprobability,ifImaysocallit,whichisinvolvedinreasoning~oughlyoftheformtheproportionofB-itemsinPisN/Mmostofthem-memberedsubclassesofPcontainaproportionofB-itemswhichapproximatesthatofPSisanm-memberedsubclassofPt
8、hereforeitisprobablethattheproportionofB-itemsinSapproximatesNIManan