How to Build an Economic Model in Your Spare Time (2).pdf

How to Build an Economic Model in Your Spare Time (2).pdf

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时间:2019-02-28

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1、HowtoBuildanEconomicModelinYourSpareTimebyHalR.VarianUCBerkeleyDecember1994Currentversion:July25,2009Abstract.ThisisanessayforPassionandCraft:EconomistsatWork,editedbyMichaelSzenberg,UniversityofMichiganPress,1997.Keywords.Address.HalR.Varian,Dean,SchoolofInformationMangementandSystems,UCBerke

2、ley.Webpagehttp://www.sims.berkeley.edu~halHowtoBuildanEconomicModelinYourSpareTimeHalR.VarianMostofmyworkineconomicsinvolvesconstructingtheoreticalmodels.Overtheyears,Ihavedevelopedsomewaysofdoingthisthatmaybeworthdescribingtothosewhoaspiretopracticethisart.Inrealitytheprocessismuchmorehaphaz

3、ardthanmydescriptionwouldsuggest

4、themodelofresearchthatIdescribeisanidealizationofreality,muchliketheeconomicmodelsthatIcreate.Butthereisprobablyenoughconnectionwithrealitytomakethedescriptionuseful

5、whichIhopeisalsotrueformyeconomicmodels.1.GettingideasThe rststepistogetanidea.Thisisnotallthat

6、hardtodo.Thetrickypartistogetagoodidea.Thewayyoudothisistocomeupwithlotsandlotsofideasandthrowoutalltheonesthataren'tgood.Butwheretogetideas,that'sthequestion.Mostgraduatestudentsareconvincedthatthewayyougetideasistoreadjournalarticles.Butinmyexperiencejournalsreallyaren'taverygoodsourceoforig

7、inalideas.Youcangetlotsofthingsfromjournalarticles

8、technique,insight,eventruth.Butmostofthetimeyouwillonlygetsomeoneelse'sideas.True,theymayleaveafewlooseendslyingaroundthatyoucanpickupon,butthereasontheyarelooseisprobablythattheauthorthoughtaboutthemawhileandcouldn't gureoutwhattodowiththemor

9、decidedtheyweretootedioustobotherwith

10、whichmeansthatitislikelythatyouwill ndyourselfinthesamesituation.Mysuggestionisratherdi erent:Ithinkthatyoushouldlookforyourideasoutsidetheacademicjournals

11、innewspapers,inmagazines,inconversations,andinTVandradioprograms.Whenyoureadthenewspaper,lookforthea

12、rticlesabouteconomics:::andthenlookattheonesthataren'tabouteconomics,becauselotsofthetimetheyendupbeingabouteconomicstoo.Magazinesareusuallybetterthannewspapersbecausetheygointoissuesinmoredepth.Ontheotherhand,ashalloweranalysismaybemor

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