资源描述：
《Dynamical downscaling of climate change in Central Asia2.pdf》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、GLOBAL-01982;NoofPages14GlobalandPlanetaryChangexxx(2013)xxx–xxxContentslistsavailableatSciVerseScienceDirectGlobalandPlanetaryChangejournalhomepage:www.elsevier.com/locate/gloplachaDynamicaldownscalingofclimatechangeinCentralAsiaa,⁎,MarkusMüllerabacdBirgitMannig,EvaStarke,ChristianMerkenschlag
2、er,WeiyiMao,XiefeiZhi,e,1eaRalfPodzun,DanielaJacob,HeikoPaethaInstituteofGeographyandGeology,UniversityofWuerzburg,AmHubland,97074Wuerzburg,GermanybInstituteofWaterResourcesManagement,HydrologyandAgriculturalHydraulicEngineering,LeibnizUniversityofHannover,Appelstr.9A,30167Hannover,GermanycXinj
3、iangClimateCentre,46JianguoluRoad,Urumqi830002Xinjiang,ChinadNanjingUniversity,22,HankouRoad,210093Nanjing,ChinaeMaxPlanckInstituteforMeteorology,Bundesstrasse53,20146Hamburg,GermanyarticleinfoabstractArticlehistory:Thehigh-resolutionregionalclimatemodel(RCM)REMOhasbeenimplementedovertheregiono
4、fCentralReceived1February2012Asia,includingwesternChina.Amodelrunforcedbyreanalysisdata(1/2°resolution),andtworunsforcedAccepted13May2013byaGCM(onerunwith1/2°andonerunwith1/6°resolution)havebeenrealized.Themodelhasbeeneval-Availableonlinexxxxuatedregardingitsabilitytosimulatethemeanclimateofthe
5、period1971–2000.IthasbeenfoundthatthespatialpatternofmeantemperatureandprecipitationissimulatedwellbyREMO.TheREMOsimulationsareKeywords:oftenclosertoobservationaldatathanreanalysisdataare,andshowconsiderablyhigherspatialdetail.TheclimatechangeregionalclimatemodelingGCM-forcedsimulationsextendto
6、theyear2100undertheA1Bscenario.Theclimatechangesignaloftem-CentralAsiaperatureislargestinwinterinthenorthernpartofthestudyareaandovermountainousterrain.Awarmingupto7°Cisprojecteduntiltheendofthe21stcentury.Insummer,warmingisstrongestoverthesouthernpartofCentralAsia.Changesinprecipitationarespat
7、iallymoreheterogeneous.©2013ElsevierB.V.Allrightsreserved.1.Introductionscale,i.e.intheentireregionofCentralAsia,hasoccurredinmorerecentyearsonly.Thus,itisstillratherrudimentary(LioubimtsevaTheregionofCentralAsiaischaracterizedbya
