供应链长鞭效应的控制策略研究

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1、上海交通大学硕士学位论文供应链长鞭效应的控制策略研究姓名：汪全龙申请学位级别：硕士专业：控制理论与控制工程指导教师：王景成20070201上海交通大学硕士学位论文STUDYONTHECONTROLPOLICYOFTHEBULLWHIPEFFECTINSUPPLYCHAINABSTRACTFirmshavebeengraduallyregardingthecompetitionaspartofasupplychainagainstothersupplychains,ratherthanasasinglefirmagainstotherindividualfirmssincethe1980s.It

2、bringsmuchnewhardworkforthesupplychainmanagement.Supplychainmanagementhasbeenthemostimportantsubjectallovertheworld.Thebullwhipeffecttakesplacewhenthemembersofasupplychaintrytocoordinatetherelationbetweensupplyanddemand.Itisidentifiedbythephenomenonthatthevariabilityofdemandislargelyincreasingwhileo

3、rdersaresentfromthedownsidetotheupsideinasupplychain.Bullwhipeffectmakesthelevelofthestorageofenterprise’sproductionhigher,andthelevelofservicelower.Thenthewholecostofsupplychainwillbemadetoohigh.Allthesewillmaketheenterprisesinsupplychainlesscompetitive.Atlast,everymemberinthesupplychainwillsustain

4、losses.Thereforereducingthebadinfluenceofbullwhipeffectisanewmeasuretoimprovetheefficiencyofsupplychainmanagementandgainpreponderanceinmarketcompetition.Itwillbringthesupplychainmoreacumen,reducethecostofthesupplychain,andshortenthetimeofsupplyandsoon.II上海交通大学硕士学位论文Firstly,thisdissertationdiscussest

5、hecausationandtheinfluenceofbullwhipeffectofsupplychainindetail.Andthephenomenonandtraitofbullwhipeffectaresimulatedvisuallythroughthesimulator.Secondly,onthebaseoftheresearchgivenbyotherresearchers,thisarticlebringsoutanewinvestigativemethodtoreducetheinfluenceofbullwhipeffectwithsystemscienceandco

6、ntroltheory.Thatistooptimizethesystemwithfuzzycontrollerandimplicitgeneralizedpredictiveself-tuningcontrollerbyintroducingerrorcorrectionmethodofdynamicmatrixalgorithmintotraditionalgeneralizedpredictivecontrolalgorithm.Lastly,thisdissertationsimulatestheamendedsystemaccordingtheoptimizingmethod.And

7、theoptimizingmethodsareprovedvalidthroughcomparingwiththesimulationofPIDcontrol.KEYWORDS:SupplyChain，BullwhipEffect，FuzzyControl，PredictiveControlIII上海交通大学学位论文原创性声明本人郑重声明：所呈交的学位论文，是本人在导师的指导下，独立进行研究工作所