Accountability, Transparency, and Inflation Targeting

Accountability, Transparency, and Inflation Targeting

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时间:2019-05-25

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1、CARLE.WALSHAccountability,Transparency,andInflationTargetingInflationtargetingregimesdefineaperformancemeasureforthecentralbank.Aregimethatplacesalarge(small)weightonachievingthetargetisanalogoustoahigh-(low-)poweredincentivescheme.High-poweredincentivestructurespromoteac

2、countabilitybutmaydistortstabilizationpolicy.Theoptimalpowerunderinflationtargetingisderivedunderperfectandimperfectinformation.Thefundamentaltrade-offbetweenaccountabil-ityandstabilizationdependsonthedegreeoftransparency,definedastheabilitytomonitorthecentralbank’sperfo

3、rmance.Multiplicativeuncertaintyincreasestheoptimalweighttoplaceonachievinganinflationtarget.Duringthepastdecade,inflationtargetinghasgrowninpopularityamongcentralbankersandeconomists.WhileNewZealandwasoneofthefirstcountriestoadoptanexplicitinflationtargetingregime,itiscer

4、tainlynolongeralone.Canada,theCzechRepublic,Israel,Mexico,Sweden,andtheUKhavealladoptedsomeformofinflationtargeting,ashadFinlandandSpainpriortoenteringtheEuropeanMonetaryUnion.1Thetrendtowardsinflationtargetingbycentralbanks,aswellastheacademicinterestininflationtargeting

5、,reflectstwothemes.Onetheme,thatofaccountability,hasstressedtheneedtosolvethecredibilityproblemsthatcanarisewhenpolicyisdeterminedunderdiscretion.GeneralsolutionstotheaccountabilityproblemincludetheconservativecentralAnearlierversionofthispaperwaspreparedforaworkshoponm

6、onetarypolicyheldattheReserveBankofNewZealandandwaspartiallysupportedbyagrantfromtheNationalScienceFoundation.Iwouldliketothanktheeditorandreferees,participantsattheRBNZworkshop,thoseataworkshoponpoliticaleconomyatUCLA,HenrikJensen,AlinaCarare,ØisteinRøisland,andsemina

7、rparticipantsattheBankofSpain,theNorgesBank,andattheUniversitiesofSouthampton,Stanford,andWarwickforhelpfulcommentsanddiscussion.AnyopinionsexpressedarethoseoftheauthorandnotnecessarilythoseoftheFederalReserveBankofSanFranciscoortheFederalReserveSystem.CarlE.Walshisapr

8、ofessorattheDepartmentofEconomics,UniversityofCalifornia,SantaCruz,andisaffiliatedwiththeFederalReserveBankofSanFranci

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