2011年3月高口

2011年3月高口

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时间:2019-06-02

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1、SECTION1:LISTENINGTEST(30minutes) PartA:SpotDictationDirections:Inthispartofthetest,youwillhearapassageandreadthesamepassagewithblanksinit.Fillineachoftheblankwiththewordorwordsyouhaveheardonthetape.WriteyouranswerinthecorrespondingspaceinyourANSWERBOOKLET.Rememberyouwillhear

2、thepassageONLYONCE. RenownedUSeconomistJohnRutledgewhohelpedframethefiscalpoliciesoftwoformalUSpresidentswarnedthatanabruptriseinChina’scurrencycouldleadtoanotherAsianfinancialcrisis.ThefounderofRutledgeCapitaltoldthemediathatiftheYuanrisestoofastandtoohigh,itwoulddiscouragef

3、oreigndirectinvestmentinChina,whileencouragingcurrencymanipulationbymarketsspeculators.Currencychangeismoredifficultforinvestors,andmoreexcitingforspeculators.TheChinesecurrencyhasappreciatedbymorethan5%sinceJuly2005,whenthecountryallowtheYuantofloatagainsttheUSdollar,withada

4、ilybandof0.3%.Theanalystsareexpectingthecurrencytoriseanother4%bytheendofthisyear.ButiftheYuanrose20%to30%,assomeUSpoliticiansaredemanding,itwouldjeopardizetheChineseeconomy,causingarecessionanddeflation.SimilaradvisetoallowanabruptappreciationofacurrencyledtotheAsianfinancia

5、lcrisesin1997,andcameveryclosetodestroyingtheJapaneseeconomy.TheUSeconomistsaysthatinvestorswantforemosttoavoidrisksassociatedwithlargefluctuationsincurrencyandinflation.Theycalculatereturnsontheirinvestmentafterevaluatingriskstobenefitssuchaslowerlabourcost.ArisingYuanwouldd

6、riveuplabourcostsforforminginvestorsandwouldnotresultinhigherwagesforworkers.Earlierreportssaidthecurrencyspeculatorshadpumped200billionUSdollarsintoChina,bytheendoflastyear,withanother17billionUSdollarsflowingintotheeconomyinthefirst3monthsofthisyear.Thereisnowaytoaccurately

7、tracktheflowofthistypesofinvestment,andmanyeconomistsdisagreethattheamountofspeculativecashissohigh,insteadoffurtherappreciatingitscurrency.ChinashouldmaketheYuanconvertibletotheUSdollar.IftheYuanweremoreeasilyconvertedintoforeigncurrencies,itwouldallowChinesecompaniestoexpan

8、doverseas,facilitatethepurchaseofforeigntechnologyandprovidemanageme

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