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1、March27,2008InternationalSeminaronMaterialSynthesisandProcessing2008合成材料與加工處理技術國際研討會BureauofEnergyMinistryofEconomicAffairs經濟部能源局DivisionDirector:Dr.Chin-TeChen組長陳金德TheTrendofNewEnergyDevelopmentintheWorld全球新能源發展趨勢I.ChangeoftheGlobalEnergySituation國際能源情勢的變遷II.World-spreadNewEnergyWaves席捲全球的新能源浪潮I
2、II.DevelopmentofNewEnergyTechnologies新能源技術的脈動IV.FosteringNewEnergyIndustrialDevelopmentinTaiwan引領國內新能源產業發展V.ClosingRemarks結語Contents內容I.ChangeoftheGlobalEnergySituation國際能源情勢的變遷Growingtrendoftheglobalprimaryenergydemand全球初級能源需求之成長趨勢Globalenergysituationandfuturedevelopment國際能源情勢與未來發展StatusandT
3、argetsofMajorCountries’EnergyDevelopment各國能源發展現況與目標From1973-2005,globalprimaryenergydemandincreased86.7%1973-2005年：初級能源需求成長86.7%；Fossilenergywasover80%ofprimaryenergy初級能源中化石能源占80%以上Mainlybio-energy(about79.4%)andhydropower(about16.7%)ofrenewableenergy再生能源中以生質能(約佔79.4%)及水力(約16.7%)為主Growingtrend
4、oftheglobalprimaryenergydemand全球初級能源需求之成長趨勢Source:IEA,KeyWorldEnergyStatistics2007Forecastoftheglobalprimaryenergydemand全球初級能源需求預測(Mtoe)EIAforecastedthattheaverageannualgrowthrateofenergydemandisabout1.6%during2004-2030,while70%ofitwillbeconcentratedindevelopingcountries.IEA預估2004~2030年能源需求年均成長率
5、為1.6%，其中70%將集中於發展中國家。Fossilfuelswillstillbethemajorenergysupplyin2030,buttheaverageannualgrowthrateofgas,hydroandotherREswillbemorethan2%.2030年化石燃料仍為主要能源需求，惟天然氣、水力及其他再生能源之平均成長率將高於2%。20042010201520302004-2030*CoalOilGasNuclearHydroBioOtherREs2,7733,7872,3117182431,172553,3544,3662,6867752801,2839
6、93,6664,7503,0178103171,3751364,4415,5753,8698614081,6452961.8%1.3%2.0%0.7%2.0%1.3%6.6%Total11,05912,84214,07117,0951.6%*：AverageannualgrowthrateSource：IEA,WorldEnergyOutlook2006Globalenergysituationanddevelopment國際能源情勢與發展1.Trendofhighenergyprice高能源價格趨勢(1)Thehighenergypricehasincreasedtheimpacton
7、economicandsocialdevelopmentfortheimportingcountries.高能源價格，對進口國的經濟發展與社會民生產生影響。(2)Rationalizationondomesticenergypriceandincreaseofenergyefficiencyaretwoimportantissues.能源價格合理反映成本及提升能源效率為二大重要的課題。煤炭(美元/公噸)、原油(美元/桶)天然氣(美元
