Asset Price Bubbles in Complete Markets

Asset Price Bubbles in Complete Markets

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时间:2019-08-04

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1、1AssetPriceBubblesinCompleteMarketsRobertA.Jarrow1,PhilipProtter2,andKazuhiroShimbo21JohnsonGraduateSchoolofManagementCornellUniversityIthaca,NY,14850raj15@cornell.edu2SchoolofOperationsResearchandIndustrialEngineeringCollegeofEngineeringCornellUniversityIthaca,NY,14850pep4@cornell.edu,ks266@cor

2、nell.eduSummary.Thispaperreviewsandextendsthemathematicalfinanceliteratureonbubblesincompletemarkets.Weprovideanewcharacterizationtheoremforbubblesunderthestandardnoarbitrage(NFLVR)framework,showingthatbubblescanbeofthreetypes.Type1bubblesareuniformlyintegrablemartingales,andthesecanexistwithanin

3、finitelifetime.Type2bubblesarenon-uniformlyintegrablemartin-gales,andthesecanexistforafinite,butunbounded,lifetime.Last,type3bubblesarestrictlocalmartingales,andthesecanexistforafinitelifetimeonly.Whenoneaddsanodominanceassumption(fromMerton[24]),onlytype1bubblesremain.Inaddition,underMerton’snodom

4、inancehypothesis,put-callparityholdsandtherearenobubblesinstandardcallandputoptions.Ouranalysisimpliesthatifonebelievesassetpricebubblesexistandareanimportanteconomicphenomena,thenassetmarketsmustbeincomplete.Keywords:Bubbles;NFLVR;Completemarkets;Localmartingale;Put-callpar-ity;Derivativepricin

5、g1.1IntroductionAlthoughassetpricebubbles,theirexistenceandcharacterization,haveen-thralledtheimaginationofeconomistsformanyyears,onlyrecentlyhasthistopicbeenstudiedusingthetoolsofmathematicalfinance,seeinparticularLoewensteinandWillard[22],CoxandHobson[7],JarrowandMadan[20],Gilles[15],GillesandL

6、eroy[16],andHuangandWerner[17].Thepurposeofthispaperistoreviewandtoextendthismathematicalfinanceliteratureinordertoincreaseourunderstandingofassetpricebubbles.Inthispaper,2RobertA.Jarrow,PhilipProtter,andKazuhiroShimbowerestrictourattentiontoarbitragefreeeconomiesthatsatisfyboththeno-free-lunch-w

7、ith-vanishing-risk(NFLVR)andcompletemarketshypotheses,inorderthatboththefirstandsecondfundamentaltheoremsofassetpricingapply.Equivalently,thereexistsauniqueequivalentlocalmartingalemeasure.Weexcludethestudyofincompletemarkets

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