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1、PartIOverviewChina2030:BuildingaModern,Harmonious,andCreativeHigh-IncomeSocietyChina2030:BuildingaModern,Harmonious,andCreativeHigh-IncomeSocietyIntroductionFromtheearly1500suntiltheearly1800s,AndcanitmaintainthisrapidgrowthwithChina’seconomywastheworld’slargest.littledisrupt
2、iontotheworld,theenviron-By1820,itwasone-fifthagainasbigasment,andthefabricofitsownsociety?WeEurope’sandaccountedforathirdofworldanswer“yes”toboth,butonlyifChinatran-grossdomesticproduct(GDP).ButthenextsitionsfrompoliciesthatserveditsowellintwocenturiesweretumultuousforChina.
3、thepasttoonesthataddresstheverydiffer-Thecountryexperiencedcatastrophicentchallengesofaverydifferentfuture.declinebetween1820and1950andthen,Thisoverview,supportedbyfiveunder-startingin1978,meteoricrise(Maddisonpinningvolumes,identifiesthesechallenges2001).Today,Chinaisonceaga
4、inamongoftomorrow,pointstokeychoicesahead,thelargesteconomiesoftheworld,havingandrecommendsnotjust“what”needsovertakenJapanin2010.Itseconomyistobereformed,but“how”toundertakenowsecondonlytothatoftheUnitedStatesthereforms.Theoverviewisdividedinto(third,iftheEuropeanUnioniscoun
5、tedasninechapters.Thefirstchapterexaminesoneeconomy),anditistheworld’slargestthecharacteristicsofChina’sdevelopmentmanufacturerandexporter.TheEastAsiansince1978;considersfutureopportuni-miraclemayhavelostsomeofitslusterafterties,challenges,andrisks;anddescribesathefinancialcr
6、isisof1997–98,butChina’svisionofChinaintheyear2030.Thesec-performancecontinuestoimpress.EvenifondchaptermapsanewstrategythatwillChinagrowsathirdasslowlyinthefuturerealizethisvision,focusingonthekeycomparedwithitspast(6.6percentayearonchoicesaheadforChinatosustainrapidaveragec
7、omparedwith9.9percentovertheeconomicandsocialdevelopmentandpast30years),itwillbecomeahigh-incomebecomeamodern,harmonious,andcre-countrysometimebefore2030andoutstripativehigh-incomesocietybefore2030.theUnitedStatesineconomicsize(itsperChapters3–8elaborateoneachofthesixcapitain
8、come,however,willstillbeafrac-pillarsofthenewstrategy:consolidatingt