生产作业安排计划编制.doc

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1、二、生产计划编制1、产品需求预测根据厦门神光照明科技有限公司2002-2012年的台灯销售情况统计数据，用移动平均法对2013年的台灯销售情况进行了预测，如下表所示：年份销售量3期移动平均预测预测误差误差平方5期移动平均预测预测误差误差平方200220380——————200321410——————2004229900——————2005223700215900-780060840000———200622070022260019003610000———20071984002248002640069696000021840020000400000

2、00020082078002146006800462400002174009600921600002009228500209000-19500380250000216100-1240015376000020102065002116005100260100002158009300864900002011226800214300-12500156250000212400-144002073600002012247800220600-27200739840000213600-3420011696400002013227000223500合计21100

3、000002109410000由于5期移动平均法的误差平方比3期移动平均法的误差平方小，因此，2013年的台灯的销售预测值为223500台。2、企业年度生产计划编制即综合生产计划编制月份123456789101112全年销售预测186251862518625186251862518625186251862518625186251862518625223500库存量（期初4300）40003700340031002800250022001900160013001000700目标库存400净需求量18325183251832518325183251

4、8325183251832518325183251832518325219900计划生产量1832518325183251832518325183251832518325183251832518325183252199003、企业年度外购原材料计划编制平均订货量为18325件，按照经济订货批量规则，其中每次订货成本为100元，每件每年库存费为0.1元，总需求量223500台，计算得EOQ＝20970。月份配件123456789101112带线灯头需求量18325183251832518325183251832518325183251832518

5、3251832518325订货量20970209702097020970209702097020970020970209702097020970库存量2645529079351058013225158701851519028355480812510770L型固定片需求量183251832518325183251832518325183251832518325183251832518325订货量20970209702097020970209702097020970020970209702097020970库存量264552907935105801

6、3225158701851519028355480812510770螺丝A需求量366503665036650366503665036650366503665036650366503665036650订货量41940419404194041940419404194041940041940419404194041940库存量52901058015870211602645031740370303805670108601625021540灯罩需求量1832518325183251832518325183251832518325183251832518

7、32518325订货量20970209702097020970209702097020970020970209702097020970库存量2645529079351058013225158701851519028355480812510770螺丝B需求量366503665036650366503665036650366503665036650366503665036650订货量41940419404194041940419404194041940041940419404194041940库存量5290105801587021160264503

8、1740370303805670108601625021540牙管需求量183251832518325183251832518325183251832