越南房地产市场分析.ppt

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1、VietnamRealEstateScene:AmarketinthemakingMargaretBrooke,FRICSFHKISCEO,ProfessionalPropertyServices10April2007RenaissanceofEconomyLargepopulationof83millionOneofthehighestrealGDPgrowthratesinAsia–8.4%in2005and8.2%in2006withHCMCatabout11%Lowlabourcosts–twothirdsofMainlandChina70%ofpopulationbel

2、ow35HighlymotivatedworkethicStrongentrepreneurialspiritPPSStrongandConsistentGrowthGDPGrowth20052006China10.28.2India8.49.2Vietnam8.48.2Singapore6.47.9HongKong7.36.8Malaysia5.25.9Philippines4.85.4Thailand4.55.0PPSPositiveFundamentals20052006GDPgrowth8.4%8.2%GDPpercapitaUS$571.3US$725Consumerpr

3、iceindex8.3%6.6%Industrialproductiongrowth25.5%6.8%FDIUS$4.1bnUS$7.66bnFDIas%ofGDP11.0%10.2%ExportsUS$32.2bnUS$39.6bnImportsUS$36.8bnUS$44.4bnForeignreservesUS$7.2bnUS$9.0bnExternaldebtUS$18.0bnUS$20.5bnExternaldebtas%ofGDP34%32.8%TouristArrivals3.46mm3.58mmPPSYoung,motivatedworkforceUnitedSta

4、tes43,740Japan38,980EU31,915Singapore27,490Malaysia4,960Thailand2,750China1,740Vietnam620China11%Malaysia11%Vietnam9%Singapore7%Thailand7%Labourcostsarelow…2005GNIperCapitaUS$…educationlevelhighIlliteracyRatePercent,2005PPSPositivedriversCulturalfactorsarepositive…..Highlymotivatedlabourforcew

5、ithstrongworkethicMorethan106,000SME’sregisteredsince2000Culturallyandsociallyquite“European”andopenManyspeakEnglishMinimalethnicorreligiousdivisionsLabourforcemoremotivatedthanmilitantPPSHoChiMinhCityPPSHanoiPPSOriginsofRealEstateMarketPre–1990Communistsystem–alllandownedbytheStateVirtuallyno

6、realestatemarketasnolawsregulatingtheuseandprivatecontrolofpropertyHousingdistributedbyState1986“DoiMoi”andslowmovementtowardsamoreopenandmarketeconomyPPSFirstlandandpropertylaws1990–1998Firstlandlawsintroducedconceptofprivate“ownership”Widespreadspeculation,landpricessoaredForeigndevelopersfl

7、ockedtoHanoiandHCMC-numerouscommercialandluxurydevelopmentsPPSDevelopmentofRealEstateMarket1998–2004RevisedLandLawstopreventspeculationAsianfinancialcrisis–manyprojectscollapsedSmalllocaldevelopersemergedNonewmajorprojectsLittleornoint