中国金融风险.pdf

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1、DeutscheBankChinaExpertSeriesFinancialRisksintheChineseEconomyDISCLOSURESANDANALYSTCERTIFICATIONSARELOCATEDATTHEENDOFTHEBODYOFTHISRESEARCH.THEOPINIONSCONTAINEDINTHISPRESENTATIONARETHOSEOFTHEAUTHOR,ANDNOTDEUTSCHEBANKAG.NicholasR.LardyInstituteforInternationalEconomicsDeutsc

2、heBankChinaExpertSeriesTheDeutscheBankChinaExpertSeriescomplementsourin-houseequityresearchbyprovidingindependentinformationfromChinaExpertswhocanbringfirst-handinsightstoourclients.Ourguestspeakersincludeindustryspecialists,leadingacademics,andseniorrepresentativesfrommul

3、tinationals.TheseminarsintheChinaExpertSeriescoverabroadspectrumofindustriesaswellasmacroeconomictopics.Wewelcomeyourfeedbackandsuggestions.JingUlrich,HeadOfGreaterChinaEquities852-22036248jing.ulrich@db.comNicholasR.Lardy·June2004·page2NicholasR.LardyNicholasR.LardyisaSen

4、iorFellowattheInstituteforInternationalEconomicsinWashington,DC.DrLardycametoIIEinMarch2003fromtheBrookingsInstitution,wherehewasaSeniorFellowintheForeignPolicyStudiesProgramfrom1995until2003andservedasInterimDirectorofForeignPolicyStudiesin2001.PriortohisworkatBrookings,D

5、rLardyservedattheUniversityofWashington,wherehewasthedirectoroftheHenryM.JacksonSchoolofInternationalStudiesfrom1991-95.From1997throughthespringof2000,hewasalsotheFrederickFrankAdjunctProfessorofInternationalTradeandFinanceattheYaleUniversitySchoolofManagement.Heisanexpert

6、onAsia,especiallytheChineseeconomy.DrLardyhaswrittennumerousarticlesandbooksontheChineseeconomy.HiscurrentmajorprojectanalysesthestrategicimplicationsofdeepeningChina-Taiwaneconomicrelations.DrLardy’smostrecentbook,IntegratingChinaintotheGlobalEconomy,waspublishedinJanuary

7、2002andexploreswhetherreformsofChina'seconomyanditsforeigntradeandexchangeratesystemsfollowingChina’sWTOentrywillintegrateitmuchmoredeeplyintheworldeconomy.InSeptember1998,hepublishedChina’sUnfinishedEconomicRevolution,astudythatevaluatesthereformofChina'sbankingsystemandm

8、easurestheeconomicconsequencesofdeferringreforminthestate-ownedsector.DrLardyservesontheB