WTW 2018年全球医学趋势报告

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1、2018GlobalMedicalTrendsSurveyReportExecutivesummaryThecostofmedicalcarecontinuestoriseacrosstheglobe.AboutthesurveyInsurersrespondingtothe2018WillisTowersWatsonGlobalMedicalTrendsPulseSurveyseenolightattheendoftheThisisashortereditionofourmorecomprehensiveGlobaltunnel.Whilemedicaltren

2、disslowingorevenfallingbackMedicalTrendsSurvey,whichwerunonabiennialbasis.slightlyinsomecountries,thetrendinmostcountriesissignificantlyupwardandabovegenerallevelsofeconomicWillisTowersWatson’sGlobalMedicalTrendsPulseinflation.SurveywasconductedinSeptemberandOctober2017,andreflectsrespon

3、sesfrom201leadingmedicalinsurersoperatingin60countries.TolessentheeffectofmarketKeyfindingssizeandcurrencyfactors,wehaveweightedglobaltrendSurveyrespondentsexpectaverageglobalmedicalinflationrates,usingGDP.Mostparticipantshaveatleasta10%tobe7.2%in2018,comparedwithanaverageof6.8%inshare

4、ofthegroupmedicalinsurancemarketintheir2017.Thiscontinuestofarexceedtheaveragegeneralrespectivehomecountries.TheU.S.marketplace,whichinflationrateinrespondentcountries,whichisprojectediscoveredbyotherWillisTowersWatsonresearch,isnotat2.5%in2018(InternationalMonetaryFundweightedincluded

5、inthissurvey.Inthissurvey,Americasresponsesfigures).arefromCanadianandLatinAmericaninsurers(Figure1).Asaregion,LatinAmericaisstillseeingthelargestmedicalcostrises:11.4%in2018drivenlargelybypersistentdouble-Figure1.ParticipantprofiledigitincreasesinArgentina,BrazilandMexico.10%Contin

6、uingthethemeofpastyears,morethanhalfofAmericashealthinsurersgloballyexpecttheupwardtrendtobe34%AsiaPacificgreaterorsignificantlygreateroverthenextthreeyears.Europe27%MiddleEast/Africa29%2willistowerswatson.comFigure2.Globalaveragemedicaltrendratesbycountry,2016–2018GrosscosttrendNetcost

7、trend(netofgeneralinflation)201620172018(expected)201620172018(expected)AsiaPacificAustralia6.76.67.15.44.54.9China6.610.710.64.68.98.2HongKong7.86.87.25.24.85.0India10.511.311.36.07.56.4Malaysia11.812.613.29.78.810.3NewZealand6.16.16.15.43.94.1Philippines7.67.98.65.84.85.6Singapore7.67

8、.69.2