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1、我国出口信用保险对出口促进作用的实证研究315Vol1>.31,No.520115SystemsEngineering—Theory&PracticeMay,2011:1000-6788(2011)05-0792-07:F842.6;F752.7:9><>A1,2,3,3(1.,100190;2.,100190;/#3.!;e0))$PQ%BCDEFB=CB)C)_GH.`/0)1,'2(31X400Y519Z60)104&'()*+,-,789:;<=>:;<,?@8<>A'.4IJKLM:BCDEFN
2、A');BCDEFRSTNBCUVW)BC[MBOC)PQO,]STNVW^'(),??<>a<>A'BCUNW^'()bcd.BCDEF;fF;./0;9:;</0;>:;</0;gh67EmpiricalstudyonexportspromotingeffectofChina’sexportcreditinsurance1233HEShen-yuan,LIBin,PANGShu-juan,WANGShou-yang(1.ResearchCenteronFictitiousEconomy&DataSc
3、ience,ChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing100190,China;2.SchoolofManagement,GraduateUniversityofChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing100190,China;3.AcademyofMathematicsandSystemsScience,ChineseAcademyofSciences,Beijing100190,China)AbstractThispaperinvestigatedtherelationshipbetweenexportcreditins
4、uranceandexportsofChinabyestimatingbothstaticanddynamicpaneldatamodelwithinthegravitymodelframework.Usingdataof104countries,theempiricalresultsshowthatexportcreditinsurancesignificantlypromotesexportsofChinaandithasashort-termeffectonexportstodevelopingcountrieswhilealong-termeffectonexp
5、ortstodevelopedcountrieswhichisduetotheChinesefirms’dependenceonthedevelopedcountries.Keywordsexportcreditinsurance;politicalrisk;gravitymodel;staticpaneldatamodel;dynamicpaneldatamodel;generalizedmethodofmoments1ij2008,“”,.,,.:..:;,:!kl;#%$&;#!.$,;#$,!.,(??10%%.&'.!:!1919;&
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7、)+5,:1:2,.$,3*-70.:;6<1,-/*,*3,7&*967/;;<,/:;)./*0#)5,=)*0#,06<140;;2<1.12!65$6,/116*-o-&8/34!:9@9>5/.;3<1,*6*1,=#=;>.2mn[2.=Funatsu,14]747$$,(-.4:1??08;;6,83.Abraham[3]Dewit,1';#83:5<>A,/6863:./*,7/@)0.:1<>A9<=-27B%$18D2=;B:758@<:C
