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1、China’sEnergyIssuesLIUXiaoliEnergyResearchInstituteofNationalDevelopmentandReformCommissionOutlineCurrentSituationofChina’sEnergyMarketanditsCharacteristicsin2008ImplicationsonChina’sEnergyDevelopmentCurrentSituationofChina’sEnergyMarketanditsCharacterist
2、icsin2008StableQuickerGrowthofChina’sEconomy(1)Chinakeptahighergrowthrateofeconomicgrowth(9%)in2008althoughthecountryexperiencedseverallargernaturaldisastersinthehistoryaswellasglobalfinancialcrisis.Source:ChinaStatisticsPress,“ChinaStatisticalYearbook”,v
3、ariousyears;Datain2008isestimatedGrowths(2007-2008)Steel:489.3500.49Mt,1.1%Cement:1361.21388.4Mt,5.2%Ethylene:10.2810.25Mt,-2.1%Cars:8.889.62mill,6.5%Chinasustainedhigherrateofinvestmentinfixedassets(25.5%)andhadsomeadjustmentinitsinvestmentstructure.
4、Ininvestmentinfixedassetsofcitiesandtowns,primaryindustrygrewat54.5%,28%forsecondindustryand24.1%fortertiaryindustry;Economicstructureisoptimizingandpeople'slivelihoodhasbeenimproved;China’sindustrialproductiongrewslowly,value-addedofindustryhada5.6percen
5、tdeceasecomparedto2007;Incrementalgrowthofenterprises’profitsloweddown,onlyincreasing4.9%comparedto2007;FDIin2008reached92.4billionUS$,increasing23.58%comparedwiththesameperiodin2007;StableQuickerGrowthofChina’sEconomy(2)CPIin2008wasbacktostabilization(5.
6、9%);Import/exportvalueskeptsmoothlyincreaseinthewholeyearof2008,butitsgrowthrateinthefourthquarterhadabiggerdecline.CharacteristicsofElectricPowerMarketin2008Affectedbyglobalfinancialinfluence,electricityconsumptionandgenerationgreatlydeclinedin2008.Elect
7、ricityconsumptionincreasedby5.23%andhad9.57percentdecreasecomparedto2007,thelowestgrowthrateinthelasteightyears.Generationutilizationhourreducedfast,having337hoursdecreasecomparedto2007;Bytheendof2008,totalinstalledpowercapacityreached793GW.Ofthetotal,171
8、.5GWforhydropower,accountingfor21.6%and601.3GWforthermalpower,accountingfor75.8%;Source:ChinaStatisticsPress,“ChinaEnergyStatisticalYearbook”,variousyears;Datain2008isestimatedRapidDevelopmentofGreenElectricPowerChi