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1、ThispageintentionallyleftblankBayesianLogicalDataAnalysisforthePhysicalSciencesTMAComparativeApproachwithMathematicaSupportIncreasingly,researchersinmanybranchesofsciencearecomingintocontactwithBayesianstatisticsorBayesianprobabilitytheory.Byencompassingbothinductiveanddeducti
2、velogic,Bayesiananalysiscanimprovemodelparameterestimatesbymanyordersofmagnitude.Itprovidesasimpleandunifiedapproachtoalldataanalysisproblems,allowingtheexperimentertoassignprobabilitiestocompetinghypothesesofinterest,onthebasisofthecurrentstateofknowledge.Thisbookprovidesacle
3、arexpositionoftheunderlyingconceptswithlargenumbersofworkedexamplesandproblemsets.ThebookalsodiscussesnumericaltechniquesforimplementingtheBayesiancalculations,includinganintroductiontoMarkovchainMonteCarlointegrationandlinearandnonlinearleast-squaresanalysisseenfromaBayesianp
4、erspective.Inaddition,backgroundmaterialisprovidedinappendicesandsupportingMathematicanotebooksareavailablefromwww.cambridge.org/052184150X,providinganeasylearningrouteforupper-undergraduate,graduatestudents,oranyseriousresearcherinphysicalsciencesorengineering.PHILGREGORYisPr
5、ofessorEmeritusattheDepartmentofPhysicsandAstronomyattheUniversityofBritishColumbia.BayesianLogicalDataAnalysisforthePhysicalSciencesTMAComparativeApproachwithMathematicaSupportP.C.GregoryDepartmentofPhysicsandAstronomy,UniversityofBritishColumbiaCambri
6、dge,NewYork,Melbourne,Madrid,CapeTown,Singapore,SãoPauloCambridgeUniversityPressTheEdinburghBuilding,Cambridge,UKPublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyCambridgeUniversityPress,NewYorkwww.cambridge.orgInformationonthistitle:www.cambridge.org/9780521841504©CambridgeUniversi
7、tyPress2005Thisbookisincopyright.Subjecttostatutoryexceptionandtotheprovisionofrelevantcollectivelicensingagreements,noreproductionofanypartmaytakeplacewithoutthewrittenpermissionofCambridgeUniversityPress.Firstpublishedinprintformat2005-----eBook(NetLibrary
8、)----eBook(NetLibrary)-----