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1、青少年活体年龄推测的程序、方法与标准摘要青少年活体年龄推测是综合身体各系统发育年龄的科学鉴定过程，推测程序包括身体检查、骨龄、牙龄、综合评价。在选择评价方法和标准时应充分考虑种族差异、社会经济状况背景、以及青少年身体发育长期趋势等因素。骨龄是年龄推测的主要依据，而根据骨龄预测年龄的95%置信区间更加重要。在身体各关节部位中手腕部骨骼发育的变异性最小，所以手腕部骨龄是目前普遍采用的主要年龄推测方法。中华-05RC图谱法和骺线骨龄法能够以同一部位骨龄推测14~20岁当代中国青少年的年龄。在综合评价中应分析不同身体系统
2、发育年龄的95%的置信区间，以及分析不同系统发育成熟指征的特征，寻找是否存在判断发育提前或延迟类型可能性，缩小年龄推测范围。为提高年龄推测的准确性，尚需进一步研究中国青少年牙龄标准，以及身体不同系统发育之间的相互关系。Theageestimationinlivingsubjectsforadolescents:theProceedings,methodsandstandards/（1ZHANGShao-yan,ZHANGJi-ye/1HebeiSportsScienceResearchInstitute,Shij
3、iazhuang,050011,China;2ShijiazhuangJinShuoComputerWorkRoom,Shijiazhuang050031,China)［Abstract］Itisascientificcoursethattheagewasidentifiedbysynthesizingtheageestimatesofdifferentdevelopmentalsystemsexamined,andtheproceedingsofageestimatearethephysicalexaminat
4、ion,thedentalx-rayi.e.panoramicradiographstodeterminethedevelopmentstagesofteeth,x-rayofthelefthandandwristandoverallageestimate.But,theinfluencesofethnicity,socioeconomicbackgroundandseculartrendofdevelopmentforadolescentwerefullyconsideredintheselectionofme
5、thodsandstandards.Theageestimationismostlydependedondevelopmentanalysisofskeleton.However,itismoreimportantthatthe95%confidenceinterval(CI)ofpredictedageisrepresentedonthebaseofskeletalage.Thevariationofthedevelopmentofthehandskeletonistheminimumintimingofepi
6、physealunioninthepostcranialskeleton,soradiologicalanalysisoftheskeletonofhandandwristisakeypillarofforensicagediagnosticsinlivingsubjects.UsingChina-05RUS-CHN(RC)AtlasandEpiphysealLinemethods,theforensicageestimationforcontemporaryChineseadolescentaged14~20y
7、earscanbemadebysameskeletalregion.Inoverallageestimatethe95%CIofageandcharacterinmaturityareanalysisforeverydevelopmentsystem,tofoundoutwhetherthesignsthatdevelopmentisadvancedordelayedisexist,thustherangofageestimateisreduced.Toimprovetheaccuratenessofageest
8、imate,itisnecessarytostudyfordevelopmentageofthirdmolarandmedialclavicularandtherelationshipsbetweendifferentdevelopmentsystemsforChineseadolescents.［Keywords］Forensicanthropology;Ageesti
