油价影响因素分析

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1、观察下图我们分析各因素是如何影响油价，1.国际油价及汇率对国内价格的影响年份汇率国际原油价格（美元/桶）国内汽油价格(千元/吨)国内柴油价格(千元/吨)20038.22731.303.6408.5327820048.22740.244.00710.1786620058.19254.234.54611.0794220067.97267.355.48511.6555420077.60473.505.74712.3591120086.948104.986.68013.3236020096.83262.277.18414.1270020106.76993.838.2401

2、5.8881520116.500100.309.11317.256242.石油供求对油价的影响年份供需差（=进口量+产量-消费量）（千万吨）国内汽油价格(千元/吨)国内柴油价格(千元/吨)20033.04653.6408.5327820043.04174.00710.1786620052.77004.54611.0794220062.94515.48511.6555420073.23505.74712.3591120085.21766.68013.3236020096.12867.18414.1270020105.27008.24015.8881520110.14

3、259.11317.256243.替代能源对油价的影响年份煤炭占能源消费总量的比重石油占能源消费总量的比重水电、核电、风电占能源消费的比重天然气占能源消费总量的比重国内汽油价格(千元/吨)国内柴油价格(千元/吨)200369.821.26.52.53.6408.53278200469.521.36.72.54.00710.17866200570.819.86.82.64.54611.07942200671.119.36.72.95.48511.65554200771.118.86.83.35.74712.35911200870.318.37.73.76.68013

4、.32360200970.417.97.83.97.18414.12700201068.019.08.64.48.24015.88815201168.218.38.74.69.11317.256244.生产总值的变化率对石油价格的影响年份GDP的年变化量(万亿元)国内汽油价格(千元/吨)国内柴油价格(千元/吨)20031.549073.6408.5327820042.405554.00710.1786620052.505914.54611.0794220063.137705.48511.6555420074.949595.74712.3591120084.8235

5、16.68013.3236020092.685857.18414.1270020105.492618.24015.8881520117.358109.11317.25624