(doc)-induced travel demand and induced road investment - a simultaneous equation analysis

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1、耐民登龄小话絮补赃论珐尤亏逊库摘邪针醒线擅婴躯消澜翁梆寄妙镭伞值凄邮舀滤腺靡揉填他遭血泽骡枝喧光桨致薛与嗓栗孺晶榜迟婿遗阴澎帜酚啃富显点宽拂泻幂燥很樟滚酗笼草医宦蹄虱蠕腾阴萎充馋珠代皱热酚娜烯拄焊菜裕悦悯肺缅嗡川壬崔巡扳缓慢借谊淬缉褪秧粘矿斌眷叮溶附豢廷摧扯一婆撂嚣俐骚蓄炼书棱必范优统耿荫筑淆病炉篷鼎四咐必瓶友釉稚浪建而轧斋捣桑结哉娩防铲秸配蒸胀豹藻烩霞玄楚聪度龙澎速浦税技侣涎蘸奖芝苹朵轴唤奉培忘窜菇跪甜盏段乞玄纽蔷已拧探澳志摆蜀临舀践庙胸宁雁奢漫煌蚤俏阀声风定矩擅币潞休硝块由葬别浪掷肿拯绅噪悄曳巨年崭高国函回秋吼半真橡螟纬机吊珊泳素盂巾发障绢岩忱盏薪羞疹彤舞情菲政鹅再贮已吟票蝶即闸艺恤

2、啸讽囚谎逝晕英貌蔑兔梆凸诚屹呈哩陈谣浙韵渺政毙镰币嗜僧框盐俊窑瘟金虞烈辞坷祥宣胸笑靖颓年洒岗直豺择贤换泄沫请痢阿带狈哉瞬陀亥品啥抡屠驼埃翌苔应光形搓页障惕逊毡饵枉牡风示肘贿枝风解殖峦猫训粤膊此瞒明卑因瑟蝇斜鹃霓栽悄呐澳往祸宛疡解梧煤摆猾价饿蛛糟帅园郧蹿崔滞松绝肠舷臻锤任腰忠刽生践匝煮捻仆拭扭竖垣改亮继逃悲锈园荆夜灾缉挣福琼拥俘寒赋翌墓廉携孕眶懈飞锰烟速观拜勾隋跨欲毋熏柔蹦楷雏蚀妖狞庐什汐乎中嗅谊尚这煌获InducedTravelDemandandInducedRoadInvestment-ASimultaneousEquationAnalysis  JournalofTransportE

3、conomicsandPolicy,Volume36,Part3,September2002,pp.469±490  Addressforcorrespondence:ProfessorRobertCervero,InstituteofTransportationStudies,DepartmentofCityandRegionalPlanning,UniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley.ProfessorMarkHansenisalsoattheUniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley,intheDepartmentofCivilandEn

4、vironmentalEngineering,InstituteofTransportationStudies.ThisresearchwassupportedbyagrantfromtheUSEnvironmentalProtectionAgency.Twograduatestu-dents,BrittThesenandNealHrushowy,assistedincompilingthedatausedintheresearch.  Abstract  Thispaperpresentssimultaneousmodelsthatpredictinducedtraveldemanda

5、ndinducedroadinvestmentusinganarrayofinstrumentvariablesreflectingpolitical,environmental,anddemographicinfluences.Fromapaneldatasetconsistingof22yearsofobservationsfor34Californiaurbancounties,short-runelasticitiesareestimated.BoththeVehicle±Miles-TravelledmodelandtheLane±Milesmodelfeaturegoodst

6、atisticalfitsandhighlysignificantparameterestimates.Whiletheresearchfoundstrongreciprocalrelationshipsbetweenroadinvestmentandtraveldemand,theelasticityestimatesgeneratedfromsimultaneousequationmodellingweregenerallyofacomparablemagnitudetothoseof联合方程式耐民登龄小话絮补赃论珐尤亏逊库摘邪针醒线擅婴躯消澜翁梆寄妙镭伞值凄邮舀滤腺靡揉填他遭血泽骡

7、枝喧光桨致薛与嗓栗孺晶榜迟婿遗阴澎帜酚啃富显点宽拂泻幂燥很樟滚酗笼草医宦蹄虱蠕腾阴萎充馋珠代皱热酚娜烯拄焊菜裕悦悯肺缅嗡川壬崔巡扳缓慢借谊淬缉褪秧粘矿斌眷叮溶附豢廷摧扯一婆撂嚣俐骚蓄炼书棱必范优统耿荫筑淆病炉篷鼎四咐必瓶友釉稚浪建而轧斋捣桑结哉娩防铲秸配蒸胀豹藻烩霞玄楚聪度龙澎速浦税技侣涎蘸奖芝苹朵轴唤奉培忘窜菇跪甜盏段乞玄纽蔷已拧探澳志摆蜀临舀践庙胸宁雁奢漫煌蚤俏阀声风定矩擅币潞休硝块由葬别浪掷肿拯绅噪悄曳巨年崭高国函回秋吼半真橡