上海住宅市场分析

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1、StudyontheHousingMarketinShanghaiYiwenYangNovember200809August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiTheProspectoftheHousingmarketandSteelUsageinShanghai09August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiPart1DetailsEconomyDemographyResidentialBuilding09August2021GD

2、PGDPinShanghaihasbeengrowingrapidlyformoretenyearsandthegrowthratewasover10%.GDPinShanghaireachedCNY1.2trillionin2007whichshared4.8%inGDPofChinaatthesameterm.PerCapitaGDPinShanghaicametoCNY66,000in2007whichwasalmosttwiceasmanyastheonein2000.PerCapitaGDPinShanghaiwasthehighestamongt

3、hedirectjurisdictioncitiesinChinaanditwasthriceorfourfoldasmanyasthePerCapitaGDPinChinafrom2000through2007.Robusteconomygrowthtocontinuein2007Source:NationalBureauofStatistics(NBS)09August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiPart1DetailsEconomyDemographyResidentialBuild

4、ing09August2021PopulationPopulationinShanghaireached18.6millionin2007whichheld1.4%ofthetotalpopulationofChina.NaturalgrowthofpopulationinShanghaididn’tgodownuntil2004andbegantogoupin2005.Itfluctuatedby0.96-3.14‰duringin2005andin2007.18.6millionpeopleliveinShanghai.Source:NBS09Augus

5、t2021IncomeofResidentsPercapitaannualdisposableincomeofresidentsinShanghaikeptasteadygrowthallthetimefrom1994to2007anditreachedCNY16378andCNY10145forurbanandruralresidentsrespectivelyin2007.AnincreasingresidentsincomeshowsthatresidentsinShanghaihasmoreandmorestrongpurchasecapacity.

6、ThepurchasecapacityofresidentsinShanghaiisgettingstrongercontinuously.Source:NBS09August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiPart1DetailsEconomyDemographyResidentialBuilding09August2021InvestmentValueforHousingInvestmentvalueofbuildingfromrealestatedeveloperhasbeengoing

7、upsince1999andarrivedatCNY131billionin2007.InvestmentvalueforhousinginShanghaideclinedbyabout9%in2006affectedbythecontrolofgovernmentforoverheatingrealestateinChina,butitmaintainedstablein2007.Itshared19%-30%oflocalFAIduringin2000andin2007.Investmentvalueforhousingdeclinedin2006,bu

8、titmaintainedstablein2007.