兰德公司-美国圣 战者的起源（英文）

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1、THEORIGINSOFAMERICA’SJIHADISTSAboutThisPerspectiveTheU.S.homelandfacesamultilayeredthreatfromterroristorganizations.HomegrownjihadistsaccountformostoftheterroristactivityintheUnitedStatessince9/11.EffortsbyjihadistterroristorganizationstoinspireterroristattacksintheUnitedStateshavethu

2、sfaryieldedmeagerresults.NoAmericanjihadistgrouphasemergedtosustainaterroristcampaign,andthereisnoevidenceofanactivejihadistundergroundtosupportacontinuingTHEORIGINSOFterroristholywar.TheUnitedStateshasinvestedsignificantresourcesinpreventingterroristattacks,andauthoritieshavebeenable

3、touncoverandthwartmostoftheterroristplots.ThisPerspectiveidentifies86plotstocarryoutterroristattacksand22actualattackssince9/11involving178plannersandperpetrators.Eighty-sevenpercentofthoseplannersandperpetratorshadlongresidenciesintheUnitedStates.OnlyfourofthemhadcometotheUnitedState

4、sillegally,allasminors.Nationalityisapoorpredictoroflaterterroristactivity,andvettingpeoplecomingtotheUnitedStates,nomatterAMERICA’Showrigorous,cannotidentifythosewhoradicalizehere.Determiningwhetherayoungteenagermight,morethan12yearslater,turnouttobeajihadistterroristwouldrequiretheb

5、ureaucraticequivalentofdivineforesight.JenkinsJIHADISTSBrianMichaelJenkins$21.00ISBN-100-8330-9949-3ISBN-13978-0-8330-9949-552100CORPORATIONwww.rand.orgPerspectiveEXPERTINSIGHTSONATIMELYPOLICYISSUECORPORATION9780833099495RPE-251-RC(2017)barcode_template_CC15.indd110/17/1712:00PMSummar

6、yofKeyJudgmentsheU.S.homelandfacesamultilayeredthreatgroupsorlefttheUnitedStatestojoinjihadistgroupsfromterroristorganizationsthatcouldtrytoabroadbutwhodidnotparticipateinterroristattacksorcarryoutamajorterroristoperationintheplotstocarryoutattackshere.)UnitedStatesorsabotageaU.S.-bou

7、ndair-AmericanjihadistsaremadeintheUnitedStates,notTliner,fromAmericansreturningfromjihadistimported.Ofthe178jihadistplannersandperpetrators,frontsorEuropeanreturneeswhomighttrytoenterthe86wereU.S.-borncitizens.TheotherswerenaturalizedUnitedStates,andfromhomegrownterroristsinspiredbyU

8、.S.ci