当前资本市场政策解读与走势分析.ppt

当前资本市场政策解读与走势分析.ppt

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时间:2020-07-28

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1、China’sEconomicGrowthandFinancialReformProf.ZhaoXijunSchoolofFinanceRenminUniversityofChinaBeijingThe9thSeptember2008OverviewofRecentGrowthGDP:10.7trillionYuanRMBinthefirsthalfof2007,Agrowthof11.5%and0.5%fasterthan2006CPI:3.2%,1.9%higherthan2006Foreigntradebalance:11

2、2.5billionUS$,51.1bnUS$morethan2006Regulargovernmentrevenue:2.6trillionYuanRMB,Agrowthof30.6%and8.6%fasterthanpreviousyear;governmentexpense:1.8trillionYuanRMB,agrowthof22.7%and5.2higherthan2006;result:819.8bnYuanRMBbudgetsurplusand279.3YuanRMBmorethanthepreviousyear

3、SomeDetailsofGrowthResidentsavailablerevenue:7052yuanRMBinthefirsthalfof2007forcity,a14.2%growthand4%higherthan2006;2111yuanRMBforrural,a13.3%growthand1.4%higherthan2006Employersalarywas10990yuanRMB,agrowthrateof18.5%comparedtopreviousyearTotalsocialconsumptionwas4.2

4、trillionyuanRMB,agrowthof15.4%and2.1higherthan2006,hitahistoricalhighersince1997SomeDetailsofGrowthCapitalinvestment:5.4trillionYuanRMBinfirsthalfof2007,agrowthof25.9%and3.9%lowerthanpreviousyearbut2.2%higherthanfirstquarterForeigntradevolume:980.9billionUS$inthefirs

5、thalf,agrowthof23.3%;exportgrow27.6%,2.4%higherthan2006,importgrow18.2%,3.1%lowerthan2006;atradebalanceof112.5billionUS$,83.1%higherthan2006andgrow27.9%fasterSomeDetailsofGrowthTheuseofFDIwas31.9billionUS$inthefirsthalf,agrowthof12.2%Bytheendof2006,theforeignfinancia

6、lassetownedbyChinesegovernmentandprivatesectorwas1626.6billionUS$,agrowthof33%than2005;theforeignfinancialliabilitywas964.5billionUS$,agrowthof21%;whichmade662.1ofnetforeignfinancialposition,agrowthof57%,25%ofchina’sGDPBytheendofJune2007,chinamaintain1332.6billionUS$

7、asFXreserve,agrowthof41.6%,266.3bnUS$morethanyearendof2006and144billionhigherthanthepreviousyearEconomicGrowthChinaWorldaverageEconomicGrowthinChinaandUSEconomySizeofSomeCountriesas%ofChinaAdded-valueBreakdownGrowthofGDP:DecompositionImport,ExportandGDPPriceChangePri

8、ceChangeEconomicGrowthandPriceChangePricechangeandInterestRateMoneySupplyDrivenFactorsofChina’sEconomicGrowthRichlaborsupplyHighnat

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