predicting the diversity of internal temperatures from the english residential sector using panel methods

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1、AppliedEnergy102(2013)601–621ContentslistsavailableatSciVerseScienceDirectAppliedEnergyjournalhomepage:www.elsevier.com/locate/apenergyPredictingthediversityofinternaltemperaturesfromtheEnglishresidentialsectorusingpanelmethodsa,b,e,⇑bbcdScottKelly,Michel

2、leShipworth,DavidShipworth,MichaelGentry,AndrewWright,eafMichaelPollitt,DougCrawford-Brown,KevinLomasaCentreforClimateChangeMitigationResearch(4CMR),UniversityofCambridge,19SilverSt,CambridgeCB39EP,UKbUCLEnergyInstitute,UniversityCollegeLondon,GowerStreet

3、,LondonWC1E6BT,UKcGlobalActionPlan,9-13KeanStreet,LondonWC2B4AY,UKdInstituteofEnergyandSustainableDevelopment,DeMontfortUniversity,LeicesterLE19BH,UKeElectricityPolicyResearchGroup(EPRG),UniversityofCambridge,TrumpingtonStreet,CambridgeCB21AG,UKfDepartmen

4、tofCivilandBuildingEngineering,LoughboroughUniversity,LoughboroughLE113TU,UKhighlights"Anewmethodisproposedincorporatingbehavioural,environmentalandbuildingefficiencyvariablestoexplaininternaldwellingtemperatures."Itisthefirsttimepanelmethodshavebeenusedtop

5、redictinternaldwellingtemperaturesovertime."Theproposedmethodisabletoexplain45%ofthevarianceofinternaltemperaturebetweenheterogeneousdwellings."Resultssupportqualitativeresearchontheimportanceofsocial,culturalandpsychologicalbehaviourindetermininginternal

6、dwellingtemperatures.behaviour."Thismethodpresentsnewopportunitiestoquantifythesizeofthedirectreboundeffectbetweenheterogeneousdwellings.articleinfoabstractArticlehistory:Inthispaper,panelmethodsareappliedinnewandinnovativewaystopredictdailymeaninternalte

7、m-Received26February2012peraturedemandacrossaheterogeneousdomesticbuildingstockovertime.ThisresearchnotonlyReceivedinrevisedform2August2012exploitsarichnewdatasetbutpresentsnewmethodologicalinsightsandoffersimportantlinkagesforAccepted10August2012connecti

8、ngbottom-upbuildingstockmodelstohumanbehaviour.ItrepresentsthefirsttimeapanelAvailableonline29September2012modelhasbeenusedtoestimatethedynamicsofinternaltemperaturedemandfromthenaturaldailyfluctuationsofexternaltempe