基于实物期权理论的煤炭资源项目投资评价-研究

基于实物期权理论的煤炭资源项目投资评价-研究

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时间:2019-03-02

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1、AbstractAccordingtotherequirementsof―ScientificOutlookOnDevelopment‖,ourgovernmentvigorouslypromotetodevelopcleanenergyintheaspectofenergyuse,meanwhile,investingalotofhumanresourcesandfinancialresources.Allwalksofliferespondtotherequirementsandgetremarkablea

2、chievements.But,intheshortterm,thestateofcoalresourcesaretakingoverthemainpartsofresourcesconsumptionwillnotchangeabit.InthelistofGlobalResourceConsumption,Chinaspent39percentcoalresources,16percentexpendituresinAmerica,8percentspentbyIndia.Itillustratesappa

3、rentlythatcoalresourcesareinamountofmarketrequirement.Inthiscase,investingoncoalresourcesprojects(e.g.,buildandexpendcoalbasesinordertoincreasetheoutputofcoalproducts)isveryimportant.Judgingfromthecurrentdevelopmentstatus,enhancingthestudyontheevaluationofco

4、alenterpriseprojectisnotonlyasignificantmeasuretorealizethesustainabledevelopmentofcoalenterprisebutalsoanurgentproblemtosolvebyinvestors.Thethesisaimingatthefeaturesofcoalresourcesprojectsanddetailedlyanalyzetheprocessofinvestments.Thenwegettheresultoftheop

5、tionvalueoftheproject,itillustratesthatthevalueofinvestmentsoncoalsourcesprojectsconsistsoftwocomponents--intrinsicvalueandoptionvalue.Traditionalinvestmentassessmentcanexplaintheintrinsicvalueinsteadofthewholevalueoftheproject,thatisthedisadvantageoftheasse

6、ssment.Asaconsequence,afterthein-depthanalysisoftheoptionfeatures,webuilttheinvestmentsassessmentofcoalresourcesprojectmodelaccordingtothe―NPV‖and―RealOptionMethod‖.Atlast,weapplythenewmodeltodocasestudy.Mainlyfocusedonthedeterminationofvariousparametersinth

7、emodelandcomparedtheRealOptionMethodwiththeTraditionalinvestmentassessmentonthecoalresourcesinvestments.Thethesisisacombinationoftheoreticalresearchandcasestudiesanditcomestoaconclusion:Traditionalinvestmentassessmentcanexplaintheintrinsicvalueandunderestima

8、tethewholevalueoftheproject,itmayhaveanegativeeffectontheinvestors`assessmentandfinallyleadtothefailureofinvestment.However,therearesomeuncertainthingsandmanagerialflexibilityshouldbetakenincons

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