the stability of money demand evidence from turkey来自土耳其的货币需求的稳定性的证据

the stability of money demand evidence from turkey来自土耳其的货币需求的稳定性的证据

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时间:2018-04-29

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1、Thestabilityofmoneydemand:EvidencefromTurkeyPhDChaidoDritsakiTechnologicalInstituteofWesternMacedonia,GreeceDepartmentofFinancialApplicationse-mail:dritsaki@uom.grandPhDMelinaDritsakiBrunelUniversityWestLondone-mail:Melina.dritsaki@brunel.ac.ukAbstractDemandformoneyisanimporta

2、ntmacroeconomicrelationship.Itsstabilityhasimplicationsforthechoiceofmonetarypolicytargets.ThecurrentstudyexaminesthestabilityofmoneydemandfunctioninTurkeyfromJanuary1989toMay2010.Morespecifically,itestimatesthedemandfornarrowmoneyinTurkeyandevaluatesitsrobustnessandstability.

3、ConsideringtheeconomicreformsandfinancialcrisesinTurkey,itisfoundthatthereexistsawell-determinedinstabilityformoneydemandanditsdynamicswhichisadequatelycapturedbycointegrationanderrorcorrectionmodels.Finally,theconclusionsfromtheestimationoftheimpulseresponsefunctionsshowthati

4、nterestratecausesthelargestshiftinmoneydemandaswellasintheindustrialproduction.Keywords:Demandformoney,Monetarypolicy,Cointegration,VectorErrorCorrectionModel,Stability,Impulseresponsefunction.JEL:C22,C32,E41,E52331.IntroductionDemandformoneyinvestigateswhatmotivatespeopletoho

5、ldmoneybalances.Deducingfromtheestimationsofmoneydemandequations,themonetaryauthoritycandecidewhichmonetarypoliciesarebettertoimplementunderthecurrenteconomicconditions.Astabledemandfunctionformoneyhaslongbeenperceivedasaprerequisitefortheuseofmonetaryaggregatesintheconductofp

6、olicy(GoldfeldandSichel,1990).Theeffectivenessandsuccessofamonetaryprogrammecruciallydependsonastablemoneydemandfunction.Thestablemoneydemandfunctionensuresthatthemoneysupplywouldhavepredictableimpactsonothereconomicvariablessuchasinflation,interestrates,nationalincome,andpriv

7、ateinvestments.Therefore,thestabilityissueinmoneydemandfunctionbecomesaninterestingresearchareaforresearcherstotesttheeffectivenessofagivenmonetaryprogramme(HaliciogluandUgur,2005).Turkeyhashistoricallysufferedanumberofeconomicproblems.Inflationwashighandpersistent,theuseoffor

8、eigncurrency,waswidespreadandthebankingsectorwasanoligopolyan

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