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1、Noordwijk,October4,2004Prof.RolandBergerChairman,RolandBergerStrategyConsultantsEUenlargement–newopportunitiesforthechemicalindustryThechangingfaceofEuropeChallengesandopportunitiesofenlargementforEU15OpportunitiesforEU15chemicalplayersinCEEandCISConclusionContentsA.Thechangingfac
2、eofEurope%ofEU25France,Germany,ItalyandBenelux:Sixwealthycorecountriesstarteconomicintegrationprocessin19571.1EU6(1957)**2003data>Europe'scorecountrieshadsluggishgrowthoverthelasttenyears:Averagegrowth1.3%p.a.inGermany,1.7%inFrance,2.5%NetherlandsGDP/capita[USD]28,608118.0%75.5%%o
3、fUSPopulation[m]22750.0%78.0%GDP[USDbn]6,49458.9%59.0%Denmark,IrelandandtheUnitedKingdom:Firstacces-sionroundafter16yearsincreaseseconomicpower1.2EU9(1973)**2003data>AsaresultofEUintegration,Ireland'seconomicgrowthhasbeenout-standinglyhighoverthepasttenyears:7.6%p.a.(DK2.1%,UK2.8%
4、)Population[m]29765.0%102.0%GDP/capita[USD]29,141120.2%76.9%GDP[USDbn]8,65578.5%78.8%%ofEU25%ofUSGreece:ApoorercountryjoinstheEuropeanUnionin1981–firstdiscussionsaboutdilution1.3EU10(1981)**2003data>Greecenowhashighaveragegrowthrates(3.8%p.a.from1995-2004)–partlyduetoEuropeanmoney
5、fromstructural/regionalfundsGDP[USDbn]8,82780.0%80.3%Population[m]30867.7%106.2%GDP/capita[USD]28,659118.3%75.6%%ofEU25%ofUSSpainandPortugal:Accessionoftwolessdeveloped southerncountriesreducesEU'saveragewealth1.4EU12(1986)**2003data>Today,thesoutherncountriescontributetoEUgrowth:
6、Spain(3.3%p.a.since1995)andPortugal(2.4%p.a.)achievedhighaveragegrowthratesGDP[USDbn]9,81689.0%89.3%Population[m]35978.9%123.0%112.8%72.2%GDP/capita[USD]27,343%ofEU25%ofUSSweden,FinlandandAustria:Europe'snorthernenlargementpushesuptheaverageGDPpercapita1.5EU15(1995)**2003data>Stim
7、ulustoEUgrowthoverthepasttenyears:Finland'seconomygrew3.5%p.a.onaverage,Sweden's2.7%p.a.,andAustria's2.0%p.a.GDP[USDbn]10,53495.5%95.9%Population[m]38183.7%130.5%GDP/capita[USD]27,648114.1%73.0%%ofEU25%ofUSGDP[USDbn]11,028100.4%Population[m]455156.0%EasternEurope,MaltaandCyprus:Th
8、ebiggestroundofenlargementevercha
