技术预见何以可能

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1、论文指导小组成员魏洪钟教授张志林教授朱宝荣教授胡守钧教授王志伟副教授袁闯副教授黄翔副教授徐志宏讲师目，录中文摘要.....................................................................................................................................……IAbstraCt............................................................……，...

2、..............................................................……11导论.....................................................................................................……，............................……1第一节技术预见的回顾与探索:源起、历史与现状.........................................

3、..........……1第二节本项研究的必要性...............................····.··························································……4一、技术预见的重要性..................................................··········································……4二、技术预见的理论预设.............................

4、...................·.....·································……5三、相关争论...........................................................................................................……6第三节本项研究的关注焦点、思想前提与研究方法...................................................……8第一章技术预见的理论基础.

5、................................·······························································……10第一节技术唯物主义模型...............................·····························································……10一、技术时光之矢....................................................

6、..................................············……10二、技术决定论...........................................................................................……，....……14第二节认知主义模型........................................··············，···········································

7、··……16一、技术作为科学的生产能力.....................................·········································……16二、技术知识的内部与外部概念..........................................................................……17三、技术范式—进化模型到社会构造模型的过渡...........................................……20第三节技术

8、的社会构造模型.........................·······························································……23一、社会建构论................................