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1、RiskManagementChapter7Copyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-1RiskRiskmanagement-theartandscienceofidentifying,analyzing,andrespondingtoriskfactorsthroughoutthelifeofaprojectandinthebestinterestofitsobjectives.Projectrisk–anypossibleeventthat

2、cannegativelyaffecttheviabilityofaprojectCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-2RiskVsAmountatStakePhase1Conceive(C)Phase2Develop(D)Phase3Execute(E)Phase4Finish(F)Time$ValueIncreasingRiskTotalProjectLifeCycleAmountatstakePlanProduceOpportuni

3、tyandriskPeriodofhighestriskimpactCombinedriskimpactCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-3ProcessofRiskManagementWhatislikelytohappen?Whatcanbedone?Whatarethewarningsigns?Whatarethelikelyoutcomes?ProjectRisk=(ProbabilityofEvent)(Consequence

4、sofEvent)Copyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-4FourStagesofRiskManagementRiskidentificationAnalysisofprobabilityandconsequencesRiskmitigationstrategiesControlanddocumentationCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-5Risk

5、ClustersFinancialTechnicalContractual/LegalCommercialExecutionCommonTypesAbsenteeismResignationStaffpulledawayTimeoverrunsSkillsunavailableIneffectiveTrainingSpecsincompleteChangeordersCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-6RiskFactorIdentif

6、icationBrainstormingmeetingsExpertopinionPasthistoryMultiple(orteambased)assessmentsCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-7RiskImpactMatrixConsequencesLikelihoodHighLowLowHighCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-8Proj

7、ectRiskScoringIdentifyfactorsandassesstheprobability(Pf)andconsequences(Cf)offailureCalculateoverallprobability&consequenceCalculateoverallriskfactorCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-9RiskMitigationStrategiesAcceptMinimizeShareTransferCo

8、ntingencyReservesTaskcontingencyManagerialcontingencyMentoringCrosstrainingCopyright©2010PearsonEducation,Inc.PublishingasPrenticeHall7-10Control&Docume